Nothing to blog today





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Creative marketing

Via reddit: “The flags of five countries are ‘hidden’ in the flag of Norway. Norwegian Airlines used this to good effect and came up with this clever print ad to promote their low airfares.” If the Super Bowl had print ads, this would be one of them.

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Martian rover time lapse

The Spirit rover drove 4.8 miles over the course of 5 years, 3 months, and 27 days. This video covers its entire journey across the Martian surface.”

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NYC subway data visualization

Is this art or science? Props to the amazing and multi-talented Chris Whong for this beautiful NYC subway turnstile-data animation.

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A 21-word solution for reducing verification bias in the social sciences?

Is social science (especially fields rife with fraud like social psychology) completely worthless? How should we solve the massive problem of verification bias in social science research and in related fields like law, economics, etc.? Via Deborah Mayo, check out this simple 21-word statement that should accompany a Methods section of every social science research paper: “We report how we determined our sample size, all data exclusions (if any), all manipulations, and all measures in the study.” This statement was proposed by Joe Simmons, Leif Nelson, and Uri Simonsohn and appears on page 4 of the journal Dialogue.

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Dear Robert Kraft …

You recently had the audacity to demand an apology from the NFL. You said, and I quote, “If the [NFL] investigation is not able to definitively determine that our organization tampered with the air pressure in the footballs, I would expect and hope that the league would apologize to our entire team and, in particular, coach Belichick and Tom Brady for what they have had to endure this past week.” You got it backwards, dude. It is you — and not the NFL — who owes the fans, especially the New England fans, an apology. Eleven out of 12 footballs is strong probabilistic proof or prima facie evidence of foul play, especially given your team’s history of cheating and rule-bending, and to paraphrase Carl Sagan, the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. The issue here is what penalty your team should receive; not whether there should be any penalty. Lastly, just because you are rich and used to getting your way, doesn’t mean you are right. In fact, you are wrong. You and your sorry organization should be ashamed of yourselves.


Prior Probability

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לעולם לא לשכוח

Addendum (Jan. 28): In his blog post “My Visit to Auschwitz,” our friend Tyler Cowen writes, “Each journey that we take has a single place and experience at its emotional center, and no trek with a stop in Auschwitz can have any emotional center other than Auschwitz itself.”

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