prior probability is a blog inspired by Bayesian methods, computer science, and Oliver Wendell Holmes’s prediction theory of law. We also like to blog about the philosophy of probability, spontaneous order, and prediction markets. In addition, we feature our love of maps — especially unorthodox and unusual maps — as well as various odds and ends of special interest to us, including all things Cuban, Caribbean, and Latin American. (Image below courtesy of Giovanni Parmigiani.)
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