As an addendum to my Oct. 25 JFK post (see below), check out this Oct. 30 report in The Miami Herald, according to which a Cuban exile told his sons that he trained Lee Harvey Oswald at a secret CIA camp. As a further follow up, what if we had a “retrodiction market” in conspiracy theories to allow us to place bets on the truth-values of these alleged conspiracies? (Full disclosure: I have proposed just such a market here.)
The government is once again “postponing” the release of the next batch of JFK assassination records. For your reference, here is the official announcement.
prior probability 