prior probability

Note: This is post #3 in a multi-part series.

Another embarrassing contradiction identified by Mark Lemley in Part 1 of his excellent new paper on “The Contradictions of Platform Regulation” involves the use of antitrust law to police or regulate the Internet advertising market.

In brief, the proponents of Internet regulation like to point out how the Internet ad market market is dominated by Google and Facebook. (See, for example, the infographic below.) But as Professor Lemley astutely observes (p. 313-314, emphasis and exclamation point added), “it’s a bit awkward to point to multiple ‘monopolists’ in a single market“! Be that as it may, the proponents of Internet regulation are worried about about the practical effects of Google and Facebook’s dominance of the Internet ad market. Specifically, one concern is that both Google and Facebook collect enormous amounts of data about its end users in order to sell targeted ads to them. An additional worry is that traditional news outlets (i.e. broadcast and print media) now have a more difficult time selling ads themselves. (On this latter point, see the sources in footnote 37 of Lemley’s paper.)

The glaring problem with these concerns, however, is that the proponents of Internet regulation have not thought through the likely consequences of introducing more competition into the Internet advertising market. To see why, let’s take their main argument at face value: let’s accept for the sake of argument the claim that Google and Facebook are monopolists that dominate the Internet advertising market. If Google and Facebook were really monopolists in the ad market, then we would expect them to be charging a premium for ad space on their platforms; that is, we would expect to see them selling ads at higher than competitive prices. But if that were really true, this state of affairs would then present a golden opportunity for other firms (including traditional news outlets) to more effectively compete with Google and Facebook by selling ad space at lower prices.

Further, the proponents of Internet regulation must grapple with an even more fundamental problem. Again, let assume that Google and Facebook are monopolists in the Internet ad market. (Although it bears repeating that this is an absurd claim on its face (see boldface quote above), let’s go ahead and ignore logic for now.) If this were really true, then we would expect to see fewer ads overall, which would be a good thing for most end users! Why would we expect to see fewer ads if Google and Facebook were monopolists? Because demand curves slope downwards. In words: when monopolists sell their ad space at higher than competitive prices, ad agencies buy fewer ads. On this note, Lemley is worth quoting in full (p. 315):

“… many of the people actually complaining about the dominance of digital advertising are likely to be helped, not hurt, by that dominance. If Google and/or Facebook are advertising space monopolists, they are charging more money for ad space than they would in a competitive market and offering fewer ads as a result. That means they are selling your consumer data to fewer people at a higher price than they and others would if the advertising market were competitive. Advertisers might not like that, but most consumers probably would. Intervening to bring competition to digital advertising—whether by breaking up the platform giants or opening up their data troves to competitors—means that more companies will compete to sell more of your personal data to advertisers for less money.”

Okay, but what about privacy? I will continue my review of Lemley’s paper in my next post and show how proposed privacy regulations are fundamentally contradictory as well.

Note: this is post #2 in a multi-part series.

Mark Lemley begins Part 1 of his Internet platform paper with the following observation (p. 305, emphasis added): “Everyone wants [to regulate] tech companies …. But dig a little deeper, and the demands [for regulation] are not just diverse, but often flatly contradictory.” Perhaps the best example of this problem is the issue of “Section 230 Immunity”, a pivotal provision of Internet law enacted by Congress as part of the Communications Decency Act of 1996 and codified at 47 U.S.C. § 230.

In brief, courts have generally held that, with a few well-defined exceptions, big tech companies are not legally liable for the content posted on their platforms under Section 230. As a result, as Professor Lemley correctly notes, Section 230 Immunity has in recent times become the biggest target of regulatory reform. The problem, however, is that the various legislative proposals for amending or even repealing Section 230 are flat out contradictory!

On the one hand, “liberals” want to amend or repeal Section 230 to order to give big tech firms an incentive to weed out fake news and hate speech from their platforms, i.e. to engage in more aggressive content moderation policies. As Lemley puts it (p. 307), “The goal of Democratic section 230 reforms is to encourage platforms to more closely police the content of their sites ….” On the other hand, “conservatives” have the opposite goal: they want to restrain the ability of these platforms to censor speech via their content moderation policies, or in Lemley’s words (p. 308), “Republican proposals would treat the platforms as government actors subject to the First Amendment and liable for removing content unless it was not constitutionally protected.”

In other words, to restate Lemley’s main point (p. 310), “Both parties want to eliminate or restrict section 230 in order to change how platform intermediaries filter content. But they want that change to have diametrically opposed effects.” Alas, Section 230 is not the only example of this problem. Following Lemley’s lead, I will provide additional examples of the problem of contradictory Internet regulation in my next few posts …

This is the first blog post in a multi-part series.

Has the time come to regulate the Internet or to break up the big tech companies into smaller firms? In the introduction to his excellent paper “The contradictions of platform regulation” (pp. 304-305), my colleague and new friend Mark Lemley identifies several concerns that many people have about social media and other big tech platforms:

1. The fact that “[w]e spend much of our lives online—even more today in the wake of the pandemic”;
2. “the rise of hate speech and misinformation online”;
3. “growing fears about the loss of privacy”;
4. the increasing feeling that Big tech platforms like Google and Facebook have for all practical purposes become “entrenched” monopolists, including the many “instances of aggressive behavior by incumbents designed to disadvantage competitors”; and
5. “the out-sized influence these [tech giants] have come to have on almost all aspects of our lives”.

These are legitimate worries, but is government regulation or antitrust law an effective way of addressing these concerns? Professor Lemley’s contribution to this discussion is to point out that existing calls for regulation will not only produce unintended and perverse consequences; these calls for regulation are in many instances contradictory or self-defeating! I will continue my review of Prof Lemley’s paper and provide some specific examples of this problem — the problem of contradictory Internet regulations — in my next post.

Check out this report by Kurt Kohlstedt titled “American Highways 101: Visual Guide to U.S. Road Sign Designs & Numbering Systems”.

Stephen E. Sachs, a professor at the Harvard Law School, is leading a discussion group for 1Ls on the law and ethics of abortion. This informal discussion group meets four times during the fall semester, and here is a link to Professor Sach’s elegant three-page syllabus. (You may click on each individual page below to enlarge the page.)

Source: Remember Singapore (9/24)

For the first half of the 19th century, much of Singapore was covered in darkness at night. Although there were candles, oil and kerosene lamps, they were unable to illuminate large areas and were mostly confined to localised spaces such as houses and offices. Oil Lamps The first street lamps were apparently set up in […]

The Evolution of Singapore’s Street Lighting — Remember Singapore

Check out this beautiful collage of the Moon in 48 different hues. This original work of “Moon art” was created by Marcella Giulia Pace. (More details about her project are available here; hat tip: Kottke.)

I recently reviewed Jack Balkin’s paper on social media regulation and ended up giving it a mere “D minus” (see here, for example). But what would an “A plus” platform regulation paper look like? In a word, it would look like this. To the point, in the same volume in which Balkin’s sub-par paper appears, Stanford law professor Mark Lemley has published an excellent essay titled “The Contradictions of Platform Regulation“, which is, simply put, one of the best papers on Internet regulation that I have read thus far. Lemley’s work is deserving of more attention, so I will begin writing up a multi-part review of Professor Lemley’s new paper starting on Monday of next week …

Imagine an alternative social network, one without like buttons or noisy notifications — an anti-Facebook where the feed is reverse chronological, not algorithmic, and where nothing is monetized. Imagine no more …

In particular, check out Minus — https://minus.social/ — a “finite” social network in which each user gets 100 posts, period. According to Minus’s website: “The site’s only visible metric counts down, showing how many posts each user has remaining.” Although users may reply to a post as often as they like, each user is allotted a maximum of 100 posts for life. Check it out for yourself and tell me what you think …

The “code wall” parking garage at the Lake Nona Town Center in Orlando, Florida has to be one of the most beautiful and creative parking structures in the world. For additional details, check out this short entry from the London International Creative Competition (LICC) and this more detailed report by Eva Recinos (via Vice).