Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol

I understand that TWC and other news outlets want to sell ads in order to make money off this event, but for the love of God and all things holy, stop over-hyping Tropical Storm Elsa! See, for example, this AP … Continue reading →

Originally posted on prior probability:
Now that I have completed my summer session teaching duties, I will be free to focus on my research and writing for the rest of the summer. Among other things, I am writing up a…

By Lecrae and Funky. This catchy tune is featured on the soundtrack of the May 2021 Netflix movie “Blue Miracle.”

Everyone is saying how a fan caused a major accident at the Tour de France last week. (See video below of the incident.) But as Ronald Coase would say, isn’t the risk of accidents on the Tour de France a … Continue reading →

Personally, out of respect for our Native Americans, I have decided to stop celebrating the Fourth of July, but that said, I still admire the original design of Betsy Ross’s flag and the Jeffersonian ideal that all men are created … Continue reading →

You may have already heard that track and field star Sha’Carri Richardson (pictured below) has had to apologize for testing positive for marijuana. (If not, see here or here, for example.) But truth be told, this is absolute and unmitigated … Continue reading →

You may have heard of “prediction markets” such as Intrade, the Iowa Electronic Market (IEM) or the Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX), but what about a “retrodiction market”, where you can bet on the truth values of past events. Here is … Continue reading →

That is the title of my latest work-in-progress, available here via SSRN. The subtitle of my paper is: Lessons from Kurt Gödel and the Leibniz Conspiracy. Here is the introduction to my paper (footnotes omitted): “Was Kurt Gödel right about … Continue reading →

Today (July 1) is Canada Day.