Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
OMAS seen from various angles
FYI, we have assembled below for your edification and delight our previous posts on various aspects of Ernest Hemingway’s timeless novella “The Old Man and the Sea” (OMAS), from most recent to oldest: The old man and the Bayesian sea (8/8/18) The Cuban … Continue reading
Our hero
Here’s one of our favorite John McCain stories, via this beautiful eulogy in The Atlantic by Todd S. Purdam: “When his North Vietnamese captors demanded the names of his flight squadron, McCain recited the names of the Green Bay Packers … Continue reading
My five favorite cities
And when I lived in them: Amsterdam (summer of 2011) Cuernavaca (summer of 1989) Los Angeles (where I grew up) Ocho Rios (summer of 2012) La Habana (spring of 2003) Honorable mentions: Ponce, P.R. (1998-2009) and Viejo San Juan, P.R. … Continue reading
Llegamos a los cincuenta
We are reposting this tweet in memory of our favorite Latin American man of letters, the late Jorge Luis Borges, and in honor of our 50th birthday today. (Actually, I’m not 50. I’m really 18 with 32 years of experience!)
Bayesian versus binary verdicts
What is “proof beyond a reasonable doubt”? Your guess is as good as mine! By way of example, consider the case of Paul Manafort, President Trump’s friend and former campaign manager who was tried in federal court earlier this month … Continue reading
Price Theory (Socialist Venezuela Edition)
Via Reuters: “Inflation [in Venezuela] hit 82,700 percent in July as the country’s socialist economic model continues to unravel, meaning purchases of basic items such as a bar of soap or a kilo of tomatoes require piles of cash …” … Continue reading
The Cyprus Problem
Although this historic dispute dates back to the 1950s and 60s, there now appears to be a stable equilibrium: the Island of Cyprus has been divided into two separate enclaves–one Turkish, the other Greek–since 1974, separated by a 180-kilometer United … Continue reading

