Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol

As a follow up to a recent series of blog posts by our colleague and friend Eric Posner (see: “Twenty theses about Twitter” and “Twitter is a slot machine composed of humans“), we would argue that Twitter is mostly just … Continue reading →

Or to be more precise: can we measure absolute levels of interpersonal utility or just relative differences of utility between individuals? (More fundamentally, what the heck is “utility”?) Either way, these are fundamental questions in theoretical economics, and they have … Continue reading →

Should the Internet be free and open to all? If so, how likely is it that President Trump would order the U.S. Cyber Command to take down China’s Great Firewall? (According to this report titled Cybersecurity: the cold war online … Continue reading →

My favorite part of the Declaration of Independence is its concluding sentence: “And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and … Continue reading →

Is bitcoin a bubble or the future of electronic currency? For competing answers to this question, check out this recent report, via HowMuch.net, and this essay by Sue Chang, via Market Watch.

We are in the process of building a simple range voting or bayesian voting model of appellate judging as well as a separate model of legal evasion behavior (e.g. why do so many drivers on the road routinely exceed the … Continue reading →

1 July 1867: Canada Day 🇨🇦  2 July 1823: Bahia Independence Day 🇧🇷 3 July 1952: Congress approves the Puerto Rico Constitution 🇵🇷 4 July 1776: USA Independence Day 🇺🇸 5 July 2013: Prior Probability’s first blog post 🎲

Although we’re a day late, 29 June 2017 marks the 10th anniversary of the launching of the original Apple iPhone.* To honor this occasion, here are some useful links: 1. Tyler Cowen’s essay in praise of the iPhone: Put down the … Continue reading →