Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
New issue of the Adam Smith Review
My most recent paper “Adam Smith in the City of Light” (with Alain Alcouffe) was recently published in volume 15 of the Adam Smith Review. (Here is a link to an ungated preprint of my paper.)
Two movies that I can’t wait to see next month
One (“The Social Reckoning“) is about Mark Zuckerberg’s response to a Wall Street Journal investigative report known as the Facebook files; the other (“You Can See Everything“) is about disgraced Theranos founder and convicted felon Elizabeth Holmes. The theatrical release … Continue reading
Wikipedia Wednesday: Stono Rebellion
File under: the history they did not teach me in school. The Stono Rebellion (also known as “Cato’s Conspiracy”) begins on this day (9 September) in 1739 in the colony of South Carolina. It is the largest and most violent … Continue reading
The Lindsay Clancy trial and the case for range voting
As you probably have heard by now, last Friday (4 September) the judge presiding over the Lindsay Clancy case in Plymouth, Mass., declared a mistrial after a lone holdout juror had blocked a unanimous verdict after seven days of tense … Continue reading
Monday music: About you
If this haunting track sounds familiar, it’s because it was released by the Swedish artist Kasbo back in 2018.
Final thoughts on Adam Smith and the psychology of probability
I began this series of blog posts on 22 August by asking whether Adam Smith was a closet Bayesian. Today, I draw this series to a close by concluding that Adam Smith was a closet behavioral economist who made several … Continue reading
Adam Smith explains why crime does not pay
To my North American readers, Happy Labor Day Weekend! Now, to the business at hand. This past week we have been surveying how Adam Smith uses lotteries in Book I, Chapter 10 of The Wealth of Nations — actual state-run … Continue reading
Adam Smith: Navy > Army
In my previous post “The Army as Lottery“, we saw how according to Adam Smith in Paragraph 30 of Chapter 10 of Book I of The Wealth of Nations, “romantic hopes” of heroism and glory are what motivate many young … Continue reading
Adam Smith: the army as lottery
In my previous post, we saw how the direct relationship between youth and risk-taking — the now-commonplace observation that young people are especially vulnerable to wishful thinking and risk-seeking thrills — can be traced back to Book I, Chapter 10 … Continue reading
Adam Smith on the risks of youth
Thus far this week (see here and here), we have seen why Adam Smith can be considered to be the founder of behavioral economics. In summary, what Smith calls this “absurd presumption in [our] own good fortune” (i.e. optimism bias) … Continue reading

