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Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Of lotteries and prefaces: two probability puzzles
I concluded my previous post with a reference to two important probability puzzles: one is called the lottery paradox; the other, the paradox of the preface. What are these logical problems? Why are they important? And can they be solved? … Continue reading
Micro review of Franz Huber’s survey of subjective probability
By way of background, I should disclose off the bat that I am a huge fan of the subjective approach to probability pioneered by Bruno de Finetti and Frank Ramsey, especially the idea that a person’s “priors” about the world … Continue reading
Merry Christmas!
FYI: I will post my next “micro review” in the next day or two; in the meantime, “from my fridge to yours”: below is my family’s holiday card for 2023 (not pictured, for the photo was taken in October: Aritzia … Continue reading
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Micro review of *The Hemingway Thief*
The backstory of this debut novel by Shaun Harris is based on one of the most legendary literary heists of all time. According to lore (see here, here, or here, for example), in December of 1922 — 101 years ago! … Continue reading
Coming soon: micro reviews of my Christmas readings
Christmas Day is around the corner, and I have just about finished reading the sundry books on my 2023 winter break reading list while I was in the BVI (see my 14 December post, which I am reblogging below), so … Continue reading
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Judicial performance art
I am reblogging my initial reaction to “the Colorado case” (you know what I am talking about!) because I just realized that the court’s decision is a purely symbolic one — more a case of “judicial performance art” than a … Continue reading
Puerto Rican parranda
One of the things I miss the most about the Island of Puerto Rico, where I lived from 1993 to 2009, is the parranda, a musical tradition that is celebrated during the Christmas holiday season, which in Puerto Rico extends … Continue reading
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The Colorado case
Thirty-six hours into my Yuletide “digital detox” challenge (see here), four judges on the Colorado Supreme Court (pictured below) dropped a proverbial bombshell on the political world, voting by a 4 to 3 margin to keep Donald J. Trump off … Continue reading
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prior probability 