Category Archives: Uncategorized
Notes on Pascal’s Wager
We have long been fascinated by a philosophical problem referred to as “Pascal’s Wager” (see payoff table below). By way of example, we blogged about this problem previously here. Today, as a public service to our fellow devotees of this … Continue reading
Notes on Erie v. Tompkins
Erie Railroad Co. v. Tompkins, decided in 1938, is required reading in every U.S. law school. In Erie, the U.S. Supreme Court concluded that the federal courts do not have the judicial power to create “general federal common law” when … Continue reading
The old man and the Bayesian sea
That is the title of our most recent work in progress, available here via SSRN, and here is the abstract: “The Old Man and the Sea is a timeless classic. One of Ernest Hemingway’s most famous works, it tells the … Continue reading
Hiding in plain sight
Could the number of followers a candidate has on Twitter provide a better prediction of the outcome of an election than traditional polls?

