Category Archives: Uncategorized

Lingua franca (circa 2013)

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Outer space cake

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Notes on Pascal’s Wager

We have long been fascinated by a philosophical problem referred to as “Pascal’s Wager” (see payoff table below). By way of example, we blogged about this problem previously here. Today, as a public service to our fellow devotees of this … Continue reading

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Notes on Erie v. Tompkins

Erie Railroad Co. v. Tompkins, decided in 1938, is required reading in every U.S. law school. In Erie, the U.S. Supreme Court concluded that the federal courts do not have the judicial power to create “general federal common law” when … Continue reading

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Geographical distribution of Spanish-speaking populations

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The old man and the Bayesian sea

That is the title of our most recent work in progress, available here via SSRN, and here is the abstract: “The Old Man and the Sea is a timeless classic. One of Ernest Hemingway’s most famous works, it tells the … Continue reading

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Happy Lighthouse Day!

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A modest proposal (Twitter edition)

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Hiding in plain sight

Could the number of followers a candidate has on Twitter provide a better prediction of the outcome of an election than traditional polls?

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The answer is NO!

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