Category Archives: Uncategorized

We are in the process of building a simple range voting or bayesian voting model of appellate judging as well as a separate model of legal evasion behavior (e.g. why do so many drivers on the road routinely exceed the … Continue reading →

1 July 1867: Canada Day 🇨🇦  2 July 1823: Bahia Independence Day 🇧🇷 3 July 1952: Congress approves the Puerto Rico Constitution 🇵🇷 4 July 1776: USA Independence Day 🇺🇸 5 July 2013: Prior Probability’s first blog post 🎲

Although we’re a day late, 29 June 2017 marks the 10th anniversary of the launching of the original Apple iPhone.* To honor this occasion, here are some useful links: 1. Tyler Cowen’s essay in praise of the iPhone: Put down the … Continue reading →

Via digg. It would intriguing to see if there is any correlation between commute times and accident rates.

“How Republicans are born… Daughter, 8, has been savings [sic] up to buy her first Guitar. Found it for $35. She had 35 exact. Then…sales tax.” This tweet (quoted above) by Grover Norquist, the founder and president of Americans for Tax … Continue reading →

“The first thing you learn in advertising is that nobody wants to read your shit.” According to Steven Pressfield’s latest book Nobody wants to read your sh*t, that fundamental lesson applies to all forms of writing, not just ads. Pressman’s excellent book, however, … Continue reading →