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Best conference ever!

Today (Sunday, 9 June) is my third and final fun-filled day at this year’s Manifest Festival at the enchanting Lighthaven campus in beautiful Berkeley, California. In addition to a plethora of talks on various aspects of prediction markets (the main … Continue reading

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Why not retrodiction markets?

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*Who Betrayed the Cuban Brigade?*

That is the title of my most recent work-in-progress, which I dedicate to the memory of my father, Francisco Guerra, a veteran of Brigade 2506, Sixth Battalion. Below is an excerpt from the introduction to my paper: I recently discovered … Continue reading

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Summer sabbatical readings

I will be on sabbatical until the end of the year; below is my first batch of readings. (Note: my listing is in alphabetical order, by author.)

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Wikipedia Wednesday: tessellation

See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tessellation

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Economics 102: Jevons paradox

Note: Today (4 June 2024) marks the 35th anniversary of the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre. The Jevons paradox refers to the unintended consequences that can result from technological progress: on the one hand, improvements or innovations in technology not only … Continue reading

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Phone selfie

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Sunday song: *Listo o no”

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CPW9 update

This weekend, I attended the Ninth Annual Civil Procedure Workshop (#CPW9) at the venerable law school formerly known (until just last year) as the Hastings College of Law (now UC Law), and one of my favorite works hands down at … Continue reading

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Colonel Blotto model of pre-trial litigation

It’s been a few years since I have dabbled in game theory (see here and here, for example). Nevertheless, building on the work of Andrew Munro, Scott Page, and others, I am happy to report that I will be presenting … Continue reading

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