Today, July 26, is a national holiday in Cuba commemorating the failed attack by a young group of revolutionaries, led by Fidel and his brother Raul, on an army barracks in the city of Santiago de Cuba on 26 July 1953. Fidel and his men eventually seized power in Cuba and established a military dictatorship worse than the one they replaced. So who are this generation’s revolutionaries? What is the probability that Cuba will one day be free?
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prior probability 
My husband is Cuban American. I believe there is a high probability that Cuba will one day be free. I hope so at least. Then we can take our children there to see their father’s roots! Cuba Libre!
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