Is the op-ed a hoax, or is there really a presidential nanny in the White House? According to one prediction market (see screenshot below), the top three suspects are VP Mike Pence, Education Secretary Betsy DeVos, and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. You can place your bets on this website (mybookie.ag). But hurry, you have until 9 September to place a bet!
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prior probability 
I like the odds on Mike Pence. Do I have to bet $300 to get $150? I think Betty Devos should have higher odds than Mike Pompeo. Who is the really long shot? I think I would put my money on someone like Ivanka where there would be a really big payoff.
That’s how I understand it ($300 to win $150), but ironically, I’m not a betting man! In any case, I really wish it were Ivanka too … The irony!