New York City’s attempt to use “Ranked Choice Voting” for the June 2021 mayoral primaries has been a total disaster. (See here, for example.) I warned about this problem last year when I discussed “Quadratic Voting” in this blog post. Admittedly, Quadratic Voting is more exotic and complex than Ranked Choice Voting, but either way, the main lesson here is that voting systems need to be simple, not perfect.
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prior probability 
Or, “better is the enemy of the good.”
I’m sort of with you here — though the idea is to eliminate “runoff” voting and identify someone who a “majority” supports. Perhaps this could be done, much more simply, with a “first and second choice” ballot instead of 3rd, 4th, 5th and so on. I could handle that, mentally, and that would be plenty of enough choice for me.
Agreed!