Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Could gambling save democracy? (part 2)
Originally posted on prior probability:
Is the proliferation of “fake news” and conspiracy theories a threat to democracy? If so, how should we deal with such dangerous ideas and falsehoods? Broadly speaking, there are two general approaches to this problem:…
Today (1 November) is All Saints’ Day or “The Feast of All Hallows” in the Catholic calendar; I will therefore resume my series on gambling and democracy in the next day or two. More details about the history of this … Continue reading
Could gambling destroy democracy?
Yesterday (10/30), the Amazing Tyler Cowen linked to this 10/27 report in the Financial Times (FT): Gambling on democracy: US regulators weigh election futures market — calling it “the best article I’ve seen on prediction market issues in DC.” (He … Continue reading
Could gambling save democracy? (part 2)
Is the proliferation of “fake news” and conspiracy theories a threat to democracy? If so, how should we deal with such dangerous ideas and falsehoods? Broadly speaking, there are two general approaches to this problem: one is the Mark Zuckerberg … Continue reading
Could gambling save democracy? (update)
Inspired by the work of polymath Robin Hanson (check out Hanson’s blog here), I first posed this question in August of 2021 (see here). Since then, I published “The Leibniz Conspiracy“, which surveys a wide variety of “conspiracy theory theories” … Continue reading
PSA: PayPal is evil
Beware of Venmo too, which is owned by PayPal; hat tip: the Amazing Tyler Cowen (see here).
Southern Horrors
That is the title of this haunting exposé (subtitled “Lynch Law in All Its Phases“) written by Ida B. Wells (pictured below), who was posthumously awarded a Pulitzer Prize “for her outstanding and courageous reporting on the horrific and vicious … Continue reading
This day in international legal history
On this day (25 October) in 1971, the General Assembly of the United Nations approved Resolution 2758, which recognized the People’s Republic of China (PRC) as “the only legitimate representative of China to the United Nations.” Alas, Communist China continues … Continue reading
Music Monday: Tacones Rojos
I dedicate this beautiful song to my wife Sydjia!

