Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol

Unknown's avatar

About F. E. Guerra-Pujol

When I’m not blogging, I am a business law professor at the University of Central Florida.

On the difficulty of predicting the distant future

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Why not award research grants via lotteries?

Some scholars are beginning to advocate for a partial lottery system for the awarding of research grants, an idea that is long overdue in my humble opinion. Why? Among other things, because under a random allocation system a new researcher … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The partial government shutdown as a game of chicken

President Trump wants Congress to fund a border wall; the Democrats, who now have regained control of the House of Representatives, do not want to fund a border wall. Which side will “swerve” first? The Game of Chicken, along with … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments

Epipháneia

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Noche en Nueva Orleans

We have been attending the 21st Annual Federalist Society Faculty Conference in New Orleans, where we presented our work in progress “Bayesian Stare Decisis.” Shout out to Gene Meyer, the president of FedSoc, for hosting an excellent conference. Unlike the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Law conference art

While I was attending and live-tweeting a scholarly panel on “substantive due process” at this year’s Federalist Society Faculty Conference, a colleague of mine penned the beautiful doodle pictured below.

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Street Sign Art

My wife Sydjia found this stop sign on the corner of Dante and Freret streets in New Orleans.

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Product Placement

We recently visited The James Museum of Western & Wildlife Art, which is located in St Petersburg, Florida. Enjoy! 

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Forecasting the forecasts

Note (1/4): This post has been significantly revised. In our previous post, we used Bayesian reasoning to revise or “update” our forecast about the possible outcomes in Gamble v. United States, a case that was heard by the Supreme Court … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Be like Bayes (part 3)

Note (1/4): This post has been significantly revised. In our previous post, we painstakingly estimated the base rate or the historical frequency in which a precedent is overturned by the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) in those cases … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments