Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol

Note (1/4): The second half of this post has been significantly revised. We have been highlighting some of the main ideas contained in Tetlock and Gardner’s 2015 “superforecasting” book in our previous two blog posts. Yesterday, for example, I presented … Continue reading →

In our previous post, we summarized some of the main ideas we stole from Tetlock and Gardner’s fascinating book on “superforecasting.” Their book is really useful because it is a kind of “how to” manual for Bayesian thinking. In fact, … Continue reading →

That is my favorite quote from “Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction” by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner, which I finally got around to reading during this Christmas holiday. Along with Sharon McGrayne’s 2012 book “The theory that would … Continue reading →

This video shows how the musician Calvin Harris created his lovely song “Slide”. What will you create in the new year?

Latin Americans like to celebrate Christmas Eve (Nochebuena) with their family and closest friends. That’s why 24 December is my favorite holiday tradition and my favorite day of the year.

It’s time to size up what we have been working on during this past year. In addition to my regular teaching duties, I worked on the following research projects: 1. Along with my colleagues Sean Melvin (Elizabethtown College) and David … Continue reading →

Check out these beautiful mathematical pudding bowls. Each bowl contains the proof of a theorem, such as Gauss’s proof by induction. The proof is in the pudding bowls! (You can order a set of four bowls here. Hat tip: Cliff … Continue reading →

That is the subject of this beautiful paper by Kevin Toh, a philosopher of law at University College London. (The full title of his scholarly paper is “Authenticity, Ontology, and Natural History: Some Reflections on Musical and Legal Interpretation.”) In … Continue reading →

Check out this incredible and creative collection of some of my favorite college graduation caps from this fall’s commencement ceremonies at the University of Central Florida. (All photos by Carly McCarthy, via UCF Today.) #ChargeOn