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If you are looking for a concise and well-written introduction to Bayesian probability, check out this beautiful essay in the Times Literary Supplement (TLS), which recently appeared in my Twitter feed. (Thank you, Twitter!) This excellent essay was written by … Continue reading →

Sure, why not! Although I am not a big fan of Bill Gates or billionaire philanthropists generally, like a good Bayesian I will update my priors and give credit where credit is due. Like the great Sir Winston Churchill, who … Continue reading →

Hat tip: Prof Steven Landsburg

Sortition refers to the random selection of n persons from a larger pool of eligible persons. For my part, I sincerely doubt whether any of these literary groups were randomly created, but (to paraphrase one of the authors in House … Continue reading →

Originally posted on prior probability:
That is the title of my most recent work in progress, which is available here via SSRN. Here is an abstract of my paper: “In the United States, most official responses to the current pandemic…

Via SSRN, my colleague and friend Brian Frye made a marriage proposal to Maybell Romero in their latest law review article! Don’t believe me? Here it is. And better yet, she said yes!