prior probability

My previous post highlighted some of the scholarly work of my colleague, mentor, and friend Dr Dean Cleavenger (1966 – 2022). Today, to give you some idea of Dean’s warm and inviting personality as well as his teaching style, I am sharing one of his videos on the topic of fear:

To honor the memory of my late colleague, mentor, and friend Dr Dean Cleavenger (pictured below), I want to share some of Dean’s scholarly work with my loyal followers. In addition to being a full-time lecturer (UCF), Fulbright scholar (Romania), and business owner (MidKnight Solar), Dean had developed a cutting-edge and interdisciplinary research agenda. Among other things, he made original and significant contributions to the study of neural networks (see here) and employee behavior (here and here). His most cited work, however, explored the “meaning of work” of the logic of “transformational leadership” (see here and here). But my personal favorite Dean Cleavenger paper by far is still his work on “The Buy-In: A Qualitative Investigation of the Textbook Purchase Decision“, which was co-authored with Brendan Richard and Valerie Storey and was published in the Journal of Higher Education Theory & Practice in 2014. This fascinating paper explores the timing and inner logic of college students’ decision-making process regarding textbooks. Specifically, why do some students delay or decide not to buy an assigned textbook? Among other things, Dean and his colleagues found that students make textbook purchase decisions “in a surprisingly well-thought-out and complex manner,” and they conclude their textbook-decision paper with the following frank and surprising observation: “Unbeknownst to the researchers prior to this study students are engaging in a long drawn out purchase decision-making process that encompasses all five stages of Dewey’s [critical thinking] model ….” Touche’!

Beyond his scholarly work, Dean was also my friend and mentor. I will share some personal reflections about Dean’s life in my next post.

I received some somber news today (10 January): “As we begin the spring semester, I am sad to write that we’ve learned our former colleague Dean Cleavenger passed away Dec. 10. Dean was on faculty with us for from 2007-21, teaching our core management course as well as in the graduate and MBA programs. He was a great colleague and good friend to many. He was well respected by his students and known for his engaging and humorous storytelling. He had his Ph.D. from Ole Miss and was a Fulbright Scholar and an entrepreneur. He is survived by his children, Samuel and Maggie Cleavenger.” This short notice doesn’t even begin to do justice to Dr Dean Cleavenger’s legacy as a teacher and scholar, and his death is especially poignant because I not only knew Dean personally since the fall of 2014 (we both taught “lecture capture” courses at our home institution and met for lunch almost every month); I am only two years younger than Dean. I will post an elegy to my fellow scholar and friend soon; in the meantime, I found this touching tribute written by Dean’s son Samuel.

Singapore’s 1982 New Year was a little special, as it arrived earlier at 11:30pm on 31 December 1981. To meet the correct time, Singapore’s …

Singapore Trivia – Time Adjustment for Singapore in 1982

Via peterme.com: “Out of Sight was placed on YouTube in 2010, but I only just discovered it in the past month, when The Algorithm served it up and I clicked out of idle curiosity. A gentle Miyazaki-esque animation with a light surprise, it quickly became a personal favorite, which I then immediately shared with D. You won’t spend a better 5:27 on YouTube today.” Hat tip: kottke.

ChatGPT doesn’t know what freedom is. That, or Microsoft’s new bot has become a mouthpiece of the Cuban Communist Party! I recently asked the AI engine, When will Cuba be free? And this misleading and erroneous four-sentence reply is what I got back: “Cuba is a sovereign country and is already free. The Cuban government is responsible for determining the policies and direction of the country, and the Cuban people are free to participate in the political process and express their views. However, there are concerns about the level of political freedom in Cuba, as the government has been criticized for its human rights record and for suppressing dissent. Some people believe that Cuba will become more democratic and open in the future, but it is difficult to predict exactly when or how that might happen.” Notice the use of the passive voice in both parts of sentence #3 and the use of the words “some people” in the last sentence. Even more egregious, the second parts of sentence #1 and sentence #2 are totally false.