Science bounty hunters?

Dr Christopher Keating says via his global warming website that he is willing to pay a bounty or reward of $10,000 USD to anyone who is able to disprove global warming. The official rules of this contest are thus:

1. Dr Keating will award $10,000 USD to anyone who can prove, via the scientific method, that man-made global climate change is not occurring;

2. There is no entry fee;

3. You must be 18 years old or older to enter;

4. Entries do not have to be original, they only need to be first;

5. Dr Keating is the final judge of all entries, but he will provide comments on why any entry fails to prove the point.

Time out … Does anyone see any problems with Rule #5?

Incentives matter!

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How many World Cup matches are fixed?

Forty-eight matches will played during the first stage of the World Cup in the nation of Brasil. But how many, pray tell, of those “first 48” matches will be fixed or rigged in some form, e.g. by means of payoffs to players, trainers, or refs? (By the way, we don’t mean to pick on FIFA; after all, the same question can be asked about the NBA, the NCAA, and other sports leagues.) For our part, we would like to believe that the number is very close to zero (since the glory of advancing to the next stage is “priceless”), but we are not so sure about the pre-World Cup qualifying rounds. Addendum: see our post for 1 July.

Who guards the integrity of the beautiful game?

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The case for reparations for Native Americans

Why isn’t “land theft” a crime?

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Applied mathematics (birthday cake edition)

Is there a “right” way to cut cake?

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Is Professor Christensen a sexist pig?

Harvard historian Jill Lepore has written a scathing takedown of Clayton Christensen’s unfalsifiable “disruptive innovation” theory. (Why are business school professors so taken by empty buzzwords and trendy catch phrases?) Prof. Christensen responds to Lepore’s essay in this interview. Note the final question and answer:

Last question: You keep referring to Lepore by her first name. Do you know her?

Professor Christensen: I’ve never met her in my life.

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Time-outs versus “stoppage time”

Don’t you hate the endless series of strategic time-outs in basketball and American football, which always end up breaking up the flow of the game? We do. Why can’t all sports follow the international football (soccer) model and use a running clock with “stoppage time” added on at the end of the game?

But how does “stoppage time” work in soccer, you ask? Easy, as Nick Greene explains:

What constitutes whether something is worthy of stoppage time varies from league to league, but in FIFA competitions like the World Cup, the referee is tasked with keeping track of how much time has been spent on substitutions, injuries and injury treatment, time-wasting, and “any other cause.” Refs usually keep track of the duration of these instances on their wristwatches and then, with a few minutes remaining in regulation, inform the fourth official of how much time they have decided on so they can let the players, coaches, and fans know via the aforementioned board. (Referees can add more time in the midst of stoppage time on the fly if something occurs that calls for it.)

Keep playing …

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How Much Do Expert Witnesses Get Paid?

Ahem … what else is it like? On a more serious note, check out this insightful comment posted by RJD in response to the original posting on Cheap Talk:

<<These rates [for expert testimony in the NCAA litigation] are substantially higher than most expert witnesses get paid because the subject matter is a bit esoteric (limiting supply) and because the economic stakes are quite large (increasing demand for the best experts). They are also the billing rates of the top testifying expert, not the average rate of the entire team. If you look at the average billing rate data for the publicly-traded expert practices such as Navigant or Huron Consulting, you find that the rates are in the range of $300-400 per hour. For some litigation consulting practices they would be even lower (say for example, regarding the valuation of a private business in a divorce) as the economics of the situation would not support higher fees. That said, we earn a nice living, as evidenced by a presentation made at a NJ State Bar conference where the lawyer asked, “How did the experts fees get larger than ours?”>>

Sandeep Baliga's avatarCheap Talk

From a story about the NCAA trial:

Noll, like most of the expert witnesses here, was paid well for his testimony: $800 an hour. (James Heckman, an N.C.A.A. expert, received $2,300 per hour.)

“I think it’s like being a pro athlete,” Noll said. “Getting paid for something I love to do.”

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A modest (political) proposal?

Embedded image permalink

Finally, an honest politician …

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How much cheating goes on (in soccer)?

Alan Burdick, a writer for The New Yorker (one of my favorite English-language weekly magazines), summarizes some recent research in this area conducted by Chris Stride, a psychologist at the University of Sheffield:

First, [Stride] had to define cheating. In soccer, all sorts of manhandling—jostling, obstruction, shirt pulling—goes on as a matter of course. Stride ignored that stuff, as well as offside violations, poorly timed tackles, and what he refers to in the study as “intentional rule violations due to a player losing his temper” …

Instead Stride focussed on the officially unfair schemes that players employ to win a strategic advantage for their team or to keep the opposing side from gaining one. He places these into two broad categories. First is what is known in soccer as the “professional foul”—a blatant attempt to stop or alter the opponent’s goal or attack. If their striker is making a beeline toward your goal, and you’re the last defender, you may find it necessary to collide with him at top speed or trip him from behind. If the ball is about to go into your net, maybe you use your hand to keep it out. If your team is ahead, there’s time to be wasted—by kicking the ball out of bounds, or by discovering that you need to stop and tie your laces. Such infractions can draw a yellow or even a red card. But players commit them regardless, for the larger good of the team.

Then there’s what Stride calls “classic cheating” or “simulation cheating”—flops, dives, players writhing with pains that magically evaporate the moment the referee looks away. In some respects, classic cheats are just the inverse of, and perhaps a natural response to, professional fouls: the former are typically committed by attackers, Stride found, to get the defenders in trouble, while the latter are largely committed by defenders against attackers.

Is “doping” or the use of performance-enhancing drugs another form of cheating? Also, is there an optimal (or unavoidable) amount of cheating in football–or in any other activity, for that matter? Read Alan Burdick’s entire essay on cheating in football here.

Was he just faking it?

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World Cup auctions?

Why not use auctions or some other market mechanism to allocate the right to host such sporting events as the World Cup, the Olympics, or the Super Bowl? Or do you think FIFA’s corrupt selection methods, or the IOC’s opaque multi-stage selection process, or the NFL’s secretive Dictator Commissioner approach, for example, are more fair?

Fair or foul?

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