Constitutional dataset

Check out this comprehensive constitutional dataset at the Comparative Constitutions Project or CCP. In the meantime, props go (once again) to economist extraordinaire Alex Tabarrok for bringing the CCP to our attention in his recent post “Constitutions Quantified.”  Alex’s excellent post sums up the constitutional data this way:

The Comparative Constitutions Project has collected data from 720 of the 800 or so constitutions written since 1789. The shortest constitution, for example, is that of Jordan at 2,270 words while the longest is that of India which at 146,385 words is more than twice as long as the next longest constitution and considerable longer than the US constitution at 7,762 words. The New Zealand constitution grants the fewest rights, namely zero, while the Bolivian constitution grants the most rights at 88 … Venezuela offers almost as many rights in its constitution as Bolivia, 81 according to the data. Nevertheless, I think I would feel more secure in my rights living in New Zealand than Bolivia or Venezuela. A constitution with a long list of rights is a bit like a prenup with a long list of rights, looks good on parchment but parchment does not a marriage or a constitution make.

While we are on the subject of constitutional rights, are poetic declarations of individual and collective rights purely symbolic or aspirational (“nonsense on stilts” or “cheap talk” in economics jargon), or do such declarations, however lofty and vague, serve as popular “focal points” and potential bulwarks against tyranny?  If the latter, which public or private institutions get to define and enforce such rights?  If you say “the courts,” what guarantee do you have that the courts will actually do this job any better than elected legislatures or executives?  Also, do you see a potential paradox here: we need a strong executive to enforce rights (and punish violations of rights), but a strong executive increases the risk of tyranny …

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Undiluted Hocus-Pocus

That is the title of Martin Gardner’s autobiography. Mr Gardner, who wrote the popular Mathematical Games column for Scientific American for 25 years, is one of our intellectual heroes and role models. Here are three of our favorite excerpts from his last book:

1. On the transmission of knowledge

The secret of its success [the Mathematical Games column] was a direct result of my ignorance.  Even today my knowledge of math extends only through calculus, and even calculus, I only dimly comprehend.  As a result, I had to struggle to understand what I wrote, and this helped me write in ways that others could understand. (p. 136)

2. On writing

I recall a visit to Isaac’s apartment on Sixth Avenue overlooking Central Park.  I noticed that he worked in a room with no windows.  This was by design.  If the room had windows, he said, he would be tempted to leave his typewriter to look out the window, and that would seriously interrupt his thoughts while composing. (p. 148)

3. On love and life

Like Chicago, living in Manhattan was another gratifying experience. I have a strong memory of sitting on a side seat of subway car, Charlotte on one side and Jimmy, then about six months old, sound asleep with his head on my shoulder.  People walking by invariably gave us a smile.  I thought, “Here I am, in one of the world’s greatest cities, with a woman I love next to me, a son sleeping in my arms.  What more could I desire?”  It was the happiest moment of my life. (p. 133)

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A natural experiment

The City Council of St. Petersburg, the sprawling city where the Tampa Bay Rays play during the regular season, voted 6-2 yesterday to discontinue the use of red-light cameras. (There are a total of 22 red-light cameras at ten intersections in St. Pete.) So, will the rate of accidents at these ten intersections increase, decrease, or stay the same?

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Personal Note: Moving to Toronto

We are reposting this entry from our friends at the thoughtful theoretical economics website A Fine Theorem for its model of the academic job search process and its idiosyncratic advice for us academics. We really could not agree more …

afinetheorem's avatarA Fine Theorem

Before discussing a lovely application of High Micro Theory to a long-standing debate in macro in a post coming right behind this one, a personal note: starting this summer, I am joining the Strategy group at the University of Toronto Rotman School of Management as an Assistant Professor. I am, of course, very excited about the opportunity, and am glad that Rotman was willing to give me a shot even though I have a fairly unusual set of interests. Some friends asked recently if I have any job market advice, and I told them that I basically just spent five years reading interesting papers, trying to develop a strong toolkit, and using that knowledge base to attack questions I am curious about as precisely as I could, with essentially no concern about how the market might view this. Even if you want to be strategic, though, this type of idiosyncrasy…

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Poetic Turing Test

Last week, we brought to your attention arXiv vs. snarXiv, a kind of Turing Test for people into theoretical physics.  This week, again via Tyler Cowen (Master of the Internet), we discovered a fun website that specializes in computer-generated poetry.  The website, botpoet.com, presents a Turing-type test for people into poetry–it spits out a poem, and you have to guess whether the poem was written by a human or by a computer.  For example, was the poem below (“The Saxophone Player”) written by a human or a machine?

The Saxophone Player

The saxophone player
lives alone,
blows
lives alone,
blows
a swinging door
splendid silence
prophetic poses
splendid silence
prophetic poses
of a prayer and the walls.
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Ocean Currents Map

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This is what hypocrisy looks like …

From US Secretary of State John Kerry’s comments on 2 March 2014 on the CBS News show “Face the Nation”:

Well, it’s an incredible act of aggression. It is really a stunning willful choice by president Putin to invade another country. Russia is in violation of the sovereignty of Ukraine. Russia is in violation of its international obligations … You just don’t in the 21st century behave in 19th-century fashion by invading another country on a completely trumped-up pretext.

Now, substitute “United States” for Russia, “president Bush” for president Putin, and “Iraq” for Ukraine and see what happens:

Well, it’s an incredible act of aggression. It is really a stunning willful choice by president Putin president Bush to invade another country. Russia The United States is in violation of the sovereignty of Ukraine Iraq. Russia The United States is in violation of its international obligations … You just don’t in the 21st century behave in 19th-century fashion by invading another country on a completely trumped-up pretext [like the US invasion of Mexico in 1848 !!!!].

We do not mean to condone Russia’s use of military force in the Crimean Peninsula. But if Russia’s military actions in the Ukraine are wrongful, then so was the US’s pre-emptive invasion of Iraq in 2003 … and the US invasion of Mexico in 1848. Right?

Addendum: Eugene Robinson, a columnist for the Washington Post, recently expressed the same point in this op-ed of 3 March 2014. Here is an excerpt:

Is it just me, or does the rhetoric about the crisis in Ukraine sound as if all of Washington is suffering from amnesia? We’re supposed to be shocked — shocked! — that a great military power would cook up a pretext to invade a smaller, weaker nation? I’m sorry, but has everyone forgotten the unfortunate events in Iraq a few years ago?

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Law = Politics?

Question: What do such places like Tahir Square in Cairo, Taksim Square in Istanbul, Independence Square in Kiev, and the public gallery of the United States Supreme Court Building in Washington, D.C. have in common?

(By the way, if a majority of the prickly political appointees on the US Supreme Court continue to make unpopular and unaccountable political decisions, should anyone be surprised or offended by the disruptive actions of the quixotic protestor in the video above?)

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Arizona Senate Bill 1062 and the Hobby Lobby Case

Note: This law review comment was revised and expanded on the evening of 2 March 2014.

As hedge fund managers and investment advisors are required to say, “past performance is no guarantee of future results.”  Nevertheless, does the fate of Arizona’s proposed Religious Liberty Law (Arizona Senate Bill 1062) help us predict the future outcome of Sebelius v. Hobby Lobby, Inc. (Docket No. 1354), which will be argued in the US Supreme Court later this month? Put another way, isn’t there substantial overlap between the substance of SB 1062 and the main issue in the Hobby Lobby Case?

On the one hand, SB 1062 would have allowed business owners (we say “would have” because this proposed law was recently vetoed by Jan Brewer, the Governor of the State of Arizona) to pick and choose who they want to do business with, provided they have (or claim to have) a sincere religious basis for their discriminatory preferences. [*] By the same token, the attorneys for Hobby Lobby likewise claim that business owners should also be able to pick and choose which parts of the federal HHS Mandate they want to comply with, provided (again) they have a sincere religious basis for their health-care preferences. (For more information about the issues in this case and the HHS Mandate, see our previous post titled Hobby Lobby Part 2 of 19 February 2014.)

By the way, Timothy Egan, an op-ed writer for the New York Times, makes a similar argument in his most recent essay published this weekend. Here is an excerpt from Egan’s op-ed:

As a corporation, Hobby Lobby asserts that life begins at conception. It opposes the health care law’s birth control mandate. A day-old zygote is a person. Preventing implantation of a fertilized egg with a standard intrauterine device, or I.U.D., is a form of abortion, in their argument. You can see where this is going: religion that trumps medicine, or religion that trumps science, backed by the high court. Secular, for-profit corporations could claim a faith exemption from complying with any number of laws. They may be opposed to I.U.D.’s in this case, but it could be vaccines in another. Or for that matter, refusing to allow a gay couple to open a gift registry at Hobby Lobby.

Although we agree with Mr Egan the main issue in SB 1062 and the Hobby Lobby Case is substantially the same, there is one major procedural difference between both examples: one issue was resolved politically through ordinary political channels (in which persons like Governor Brewer would be politically accountable to their constituents). The other issue, in contrast, will be resolved judicially in the highest court of the United States–a court from which there is no appeal–by unelected and unaccountable political appointees.

Whatever your political preferences on these controversial issues, the key question is this: which process do you trust more? The political process, or the judicial one?

[*] Aside from assuming the truth of circular assertions simply postulating the sincerity of one’s self-declared religious beliefs, how would you go about testing or corroborating the sincerity of a business owner’s beliefs?

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The Madness of Crowds?

Explain this equilibrium, or as the errant economist Tyler Cowen likes to say, solve for the equilibrium you see in the video …

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