All proof is probabilistic

That is the premise of our latest paper “Visualizing Probabilistic Proof.” (We’ve blogged about this paper before, but the latest draft of our paper is available on SSRN here and will be published in an upcoming volume of The Washington University Jurisprudence Review. By the way, our paper is full of diagrams and is “only” 37 pages long, which is short by law review standards!) In brief, in our probabilistic proof paper, we try to solve the Blue Bus Problem, a hypothetical puzzle often presented by law professors when they teach Evidence. Unlike most treatments of the Blue Bus Problem, however, our solution uses Bayesian methods. In a future post, we will talk about a related problem known as the Gatecrasher Paradox.

About F. E. Guerra-Pujol

When I’m not blogging, I am a business law professor at the University of Central Florida.
This entry was posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Law, Probability and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

5 Responses to All proof is probabilistic

  1. Oly says:

    Great, I love it, Love to my very smart son

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