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Category Archives: Bayesian Reasoning
World population visualization
Although all the countries in the world are represented in the bubble chart below, only the labels of those countries with the largest populations are shown (via datashown.com):
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Maps
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May reading list
Does reading make you a better person. Probably not! But reading is a great way to expand your horizons. So, now that the spring semester is almost over, this is what we will be reading during the month of May: … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Culture, History, Law
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Little Data
You may already be familiar with the term Big Data, datasets that are so gigantic that special computational methods are required to analyze them. But how about some “little data” for your pleasure? The frequency analysis pictured above, for example, … Continue reading
Follow the money
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Economics, Law, Politics, Questions Rarely Asked
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Was the march for science a waste of time?
Probably. But we loved all the geeky posters and colorful outfits. Special shout out to whoever designed the T-shirt pictured below.
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Politics
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Starve the beast: let’s just repeal the 16th Amendment
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, History, Law
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Which occupations are “robot-proof”?
Take the quiz here. (Hat tip: the amazing Tyler Cowen.)
Public Service Announcement: all chemical weapons are bad
Why are some chemical weapons like Napalm and Agent Orange okay to use (as long as the U.S. military uses them) but others off limits? If we are going to continue acting as the world’s policeman and all-around moral enforcer … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning
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Bad to worse (regime change edition)
1. 🇨🇺 Cuba: Fulgencio Batista (bad); Fidel Castro (way worse) 2. 🇮🇷 Iran: Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi (bad); Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini (way worse) 3. 🇻🇪 Venezuela: Rafael Caldera (bad); Hugo Chavez/Nicolas Maduro (way worse) 4. 🇮🇶 Iraq: Saddam Hussein (bad); … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning
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Anecdotal evidence does matter (United Airlines edition)
As members of the so-called “rationality community” like to say, the plural of anecdote is not evidence. (In 2016, for example, United Airlines denied boarding to only 3,765 of its more than 86 million passengers on overbooked flights, according to … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning
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prior probability 