The football coach who never punts …

Hat tip: Tyler Cowen, via Marginal Revolution. Addendum (18 Oct 2016): R.J. Lipton and K.W. Regan, who blog at Godel’s Lost Letter and P=NP, discuss the following theorem:

Theorem 1 (Fundamental Theorem of Football?) The optimal strategy is initially always to go for two. If after some number {2t-1} of tries you have succeeded {t} times, so that you are ahead of what kicking would have brought, switch over to kicking.

This entry was posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Probability, Questions Rarely Asked, Sports. Bookmark the permalink.

4 Responses to The football coach who never punts …

  1. Craig says:

    Analytics are OK but he’s also in charge of young people’s personal development, which is a lot more important. Berating players and running up scores does not set a great example of how to get along in the world beyond football.

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