Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol

I outlined my proposal for a “truth market” in my previous post. A truth market would trade in belief contracts. Each belief contract would be structured as a simple “belief statement” with two discrete choices: True(T) or False(F). The belief … Continue reading →

Thus far, I have blogged about the twin dangers of false information (fake news, conspiracy theories, etc.) and censorship (secret algorithms, arbitrary “content moderation” policies, DHS surveillance, etc.). But how can we combat false information without resorting to censorship? I … Continue reading →

Originally posted on prior probability:
Is the proliferation of “fake news” and conspiracy theories a threat to democracy? If so, how should we deal with such dangerous ideas and falsehoods? Broadly speaking, there are two general approaches to this problem:…

Today (1 November) is All Saints’ Day or “The Feast of All Hallows” in the Catholic calendar; I will therefore resume my series on gambling and democracy in the next day or two. More details about the history of this … Continue reading →

Yesterday (10/30), the Amazing Tyler Cowen linked to this 10/27 report in the Financial Times (FT): Gambling on democracy: US regulators weigh election futures market — calling it “the best article I’ve seen on prediction market issues in DC.” (He … Continue reading →

Is the proliferation of “fake news” and conspiracy theories a threat to democracy? If so, how should we deal with such dangerous ideas and falsehoods? Broadly speaking, there are two general approaches to this problem: one is the Mark Zuckerberg … Continue reading →

Inspired by the work of polymath Robin Hanson (check out Hanson’s blog here), I first posed this question in August of 2021 (see here). Since then, I published “The Leibniz Conspiracy“, which surveys a wide variety of “conspiracy theory theories” … Continue reading →

Beware of Venmo too, which is owned by PayPal; hat tip: the Amazing Tyler Cowen (see here).

That is the title of this haunting exposé (subtitled “Lynch Law in All Its Phases“) written by Ida B. Wells (pictured below), who was posthumously awarded a Pulitzer Prize “for her outstanding and courageous reporting on the horrific and vicious … Continue reading →