Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Dutch-booking relative plausibility
Note: This is our penultimate post on Allen & Pardo’s paper “Relative plausibility and its critics.” We defined subjective probability in terms of “degrees of belief” in our previous post. Here, we will consider Ron Allen and Mike Pardo’s relative … Continue reading
Subjective probability primer
Note: This post is part 8 of our review of Ron Allen & Mike Pardo’s paper “Relative plausibility and its critics.” If you are already familiar with the subjectivist ideas of Frank Ramsey (1931) and Bruno de Finetti (1974), you … Continue reading
Oh, the irony! Allen and Pardo’s relative plausibility view of proof is just as subjective as the Bayesian view
Note: This post is part 7 of our extended review of Allen & Pardo’s new paper on juridical proof “Relative plausibility and its critics.” We replied to the pesky conjunction problem in our previous post. Today, we will discuss the … Continue reading
The conjunction problem is not a problem for Bayesians
Note: This post is part 6 of our ongoing review of Allen & Pardo’s explanatory account of juridical proof. We have been reviewing Ron Allen and Mike Pardo’s excellent paper, “Relative plausibility and its critics.” We agree with their critique … Continue reading
Levels of coercion
As the infographic below shows, there are various ways of using law to reduce a harm or “negative externality,” to use the lingo of economics. These methods include (1) flat out prohibition, (2) Pigovian taxes, (3) contracts, and (4) doing … Continue reading
The problem with precedent
That is the title of my review of Randy Kozel’s excellent book “Settled Versus Right: A Theory of Precedent.” My essay is now posted on SSRN, the first page of which is included below:
The problem with stories
We’ve been meaning to write up a scholarly critique of Richard Delgado’s law review article titled “A plea for narrative,” which was published in the pages of the Michigan Law Review, vol. 87 (1989), pp. 2411-2441. (Professor Delgado’s classic paper … Continue reading
AI meets Rorschach inkblots
In case you’ve ever wondered what would happen if artificial intelligence were trained to perform image captions of Rorschach inkblots, this crazy website created by researchers at the MIT Media Lab is for you. Here are some sample Rorschach inkblots … Continue reading

