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Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Happy Singles’ Day!
Today (11.11) is Singles’ Day (光棍节), an anti-Valentine’s Day holiday celebrated in China in honor of all bachelors and bachelorettes. Moreover, according to this report by Hayley Peterson, China’s Singles’ Day is also the world’s biggest online shopping day of the year! In the … Continue reading
Testing the test
This semester (Fall 2014), we have been teaching two graduate sections of “Law & Ethics.” This is a broad survey course, and in addition to the close relation between law and ethics and the poker-like decision of whether one should settle or go to trial, my … Continue reading
Posted in Academia, Ethics, Law
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College football map (circa 1938)
Click on the map above for a better look. Hat tip to Tarene for finding this beautiful map.
Is Google a monopoly?
To be more precise, is Google a coercive or innocent monopoly under Section 2 of the Sherman Antitrust Act. (Click on the image above for a better look of search engine market shares. Also, for what it’s worth, the folks at Google … Continue reading
“Generalissimo of the Nation”
That is the subtitle of this excellent paper by our friend William Adler, a professor of American politics at Northeastern University. His short paper is about war-making and the presidency in the early republic, and it’s one of our favorite papers from this … Continue reading
Wikipedia Text Bubbles
You can compare various visualizations of Wikipedia articles by language here (imgur). Hat tip to krikienoid for sharing this beautiful data visualization of Wikipedia articles with us.
Litigation Games
Is a legal trial a search for truth, like the activities of science or philosophy, or is it a combined game of skill and luck, like poker? Although we have modeled the process of litigation in our previous work as … Continue reading
Posted in Games, Law
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A recent example of the reference-class problem
As Zeynep Tufekci explains in this excellent essay, the now-infamous Catcalling Video was not based on a random sample of New York City neighborhoods. Here is the actual and non-random breakdown of time spent in each neighborhood: In other words, the methodology of the … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Culture, Logical Fallacies, Probability
Tagged Biased Samples, Catcalling Video, Reference Class Problem
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prior probability 