Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol

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About F. E. Guerra-Pujol

When I’m not blogging, I am a business law professor at the University of Central Florida.

Detail from The Temptation of St. Anthony

Originally posted on Biblioklept:
prior probability is reblogging this detail from “The Temptation of St. Anthony” by Hieronymus Bosch to remind ourselves about the importance of imagination and that literature and the arts often have more to say about the human condition than science does … Continue reading

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Mickey Mouse Bets

Via the Volokh Conspiracy (perhaps the best academic blog on matter of legal theory), prior probability overheard the following proposition from Prof. Glynn Lunney: “Anyone interested in starting a pool on whether Congress extends copyright for another 20 years by 2018? Or … Continue reading

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Who benefits when state secrets are revealed?

According to Glenn Greenwald, the journalist who revealed Snowden’s secrets, it’s you. Here is the essence of Mr Greenwald’s argument: “Please just spend a moment considering the options available to someone with access to numerous Top Secret documents. * * … Continue reading

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The woman who helped Snowden

Her name is Laura Poitras … … and her remarkable story is here.

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Advice for academics …

… Ask questions that matter. These words of wisdom are Robin Hanson‘s. Hanson, an academic entrepreneur, promoter of prediction markets, and thoughtful blogger (his excellent blog is called Overcoming Bias), also has this to say: “I … know lots of academics, and they … Continue reading

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Is the “Justice for Trayvon” movement finished?

It sure looks that way to prior probability. The mainstream news media, for example, are reporting that a 31-day student “sit-in” in Tallahassee, Fla. (the State capital) to protest the State of Florida’s “Stand Your Ground” self-defense law has come to … Continue reading

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Is it time for a new Constitutional Convention?

Mark Levin, a lawyer, a former bureaucrat (*), and a conservative commentator, who has just published an intriguing book called The Liberty Amendments: Restoring the American Republic, says “yes.” In short, he calls for a new Constitutional Convention to “turn … Continue reading

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Coffee and risk

Some “scientists” are now claiming that drinking more than four cups of coffee per day can increase the risk of death in some persons. But, aside from the fact that most published research findings are false, here is prior probability‘s response (via xkcd): xkcd.com

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Permian politics?

According to Bored Panda, this is what a political map of the world would have looked like during the Permian geological period 300 million years ago. prior probability wonders what will the world look like 300 million years from now?  

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Prosecutorial discretion and the “war on drugs”

There has been a lot of talk lately, especially in the legal blogosphere, about the new Department of Justice (DOJ) policy on mandatory-minimum sentences for drug offenses. See, e.g., these posts on popehat, volokh, and simple justice. What many commentators are … Continue reading

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