Tag Archives: Robin Hanson

Advice for academics …

… Ask questions that matter. These words of wisdom are Robin Hanson‘s. Hanson, an academic entrepreneur, promoter of prediction markets, and thoughtful blogger (his excellent blog is called Overcoming Bias), also has this to say: “I … know lots of academics, and they … Continue reading

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Robin Hanson asks, “Why do bets look bad?”

prior probability really enjoys Robin Hanson’s blog Overcoming Bias and admire his cutting-edge academic work, especially his project on prediction markets. Recently, Hanson proposed a number of reasons why people might reasonably refuse to place bets to back up their beliefs. Although betting might not be … Continue reading

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Royal probabilities

Before the birth of a baby boy today to Kate & William, the probability that the baby would in fact be a boy was 1/2, but what is the probability that the boy’s grandfather, Prince Charles, will ever ascend the … Continue reading

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