Category Archives: Uncategorized

Retrodiction markets: the evolution of an idea

Below I describe the development and evolution of my retrodiction market model, beginning in the spring of 2021 up to the present: ACT I: CONSPIRACY THEORY COURTS 1. Spring 2021. In April 2021, I propose a “Conspiracy Theory Court” at … Continue reading →

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Tumblr Tuesday

Via tumblr, I am sharing the full video of Tracy Chapman and Luke Combs singing “Fast Car” at the Grammys before this clip gets taken down by our evil copyright overlords; see here and here, for example. Hat tip: Kottke

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Truth market update

The update is that I have made three significant additions/revisions to my truth market proposal: New subsections. I added to my paper a new subsection titled “A.I. to the Rescue?” (see Part IV of the paper, pp. 12-13) and streamlined … Continue reading →

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Music Monday: *Stardust*

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Memo to Taylor Swift

Via John Burn-Murdoch of Financial Times (see here): “An analysis by David Jackson, professor of political science at Bowling Green State University, found that an endorsement by a major celebrity could even have polarising impacts. Jackson discovered that while Democrats … Continue reading →

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#tomahawk

Can you correctly spell words like corduroy, kinsman, or wheedle? My youngest daughter Adys Ann won her school’s spelling bee on the word “tomahawk“! Below is a video of her during an earlier round spelling out the word “cumbersome“:

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A possible connection between Adam Smith’s taxonomy of social groups and Thomas Schelling’s taxonomy of games?

I have been participating in an Adam Smith reading group this winter and have thus been rereading various parts of Adam Smith’s first magnum opus, The Theory of Moral Sentiments (TMS), and I have also been sharing on this blog … Continue reading →

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*1898: Visual Culture and U.S. Imperialism in the Caribbean and the Pacific*

Happy Candlemas! I was honored to attend an activity at last night at the Museo de Arte de Puerto Rico, where Taina Caragol, Kate Clarke Lemay, and Carolina Maestre presented their book 1898: Visual Culture and U.S. Imperialism in the … Continue reading →

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My next read …

I pre-ordered this little book many months ago (hat tip: Tyler Cowen), and my copy has just arrived. Suffice it to say, I will report back soon.

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Adam Smith’s taxonomy of social groups

The great Adam Smith identifies three types of civil society in his first magnum opus The Theory of Moral Sentiments: A cut-throat “anti-social” society where people “are at all times ready to hurt and injure one another”; A utility-maximizing and … Continue reading →

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