Tag Archives: Truth

Veritas odium paret

Consider, for example, the recent spate of self-righteous indignation over Stephen A. Smith’s “provocation” comments or over the Israeli Defense Forces’ ongoing military operation in Gaza. Why do people disagree with the simple truth in either case–i.e. most violence is provoked, which, … Continue reading

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Which side is winning the propaganda war?

Does the ceasefire also apply to the propaganda war?

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Lies, damned lies, and … statistics

Note: this is the fourth part of our review of the paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach. (The fifth and final installment of our review shall appear on 28 June.) Let us return to Howson and Urbach’s Bayesian … Continue reading

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Truth and probability

Note: this is the second installment of our review of the paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach. Following their short introduction on gambling odds (see post below for a summary), Howson and Urbach present the … Continue reading

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Bayesian billiards

This simple thought-experiment appears in the first draft of our latest paper: Imagine a large square table [like the one pictured above] so level that any billiard ball thrown upon the table has an equal chance of landing on any part of the … Continue reading

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Why do criminal defendants get to plead the Fifth?

Put differently, if you could turn back the clock or re-write the Fifth Amendment to the US Constitution, would you take out the right against self-incrimination? If you care about truth, or about the victims of crime, the answer has … Continue reading

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Shadow prediction markets?

In our previous post (see Fate of Flight 370 … below), we quixotically called for the creation of a single-event prediction market in order to (1) bypass all the rampant speculation regarding the ill-fated Malaysia Airlines flight, which has been missing since 8 … Continue reading

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Who researches the researchers?

John Ioannidis does, that’s who. His 2005 paper “Why most published research findings are false” created quite a stir in academia, and now Dr Ioannidis is at it again with a new large-scale research project, the Meta-Research Innovation Center, at Stanford University. … Continue reading

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An Academic Turing Test?

Check out the Turingesque website arXiv vs. snarXiv, which presents the titles of two science papers, side by side, but only one of the titles is “real”, i.e. is an actual title selected from a paper posted on a popular electronic … Continue reading

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Is Private Bradley Manning guilty of “aiding the enemy”?

The trial of Private Bradley Manning, who has been charged by the US Government with “aiding the enemy,” is coming to an end. Although the Manning case is far more important than the Trayvon Martin case, it has received much … Continue reading

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