Tag Archives: Bayes’ Theorem

Are babies Bayesians?

At its core, Bayes’ theorem is not just a mathematical equation, a formal method for making predictions; it is also a probabilistic and dynamic way of looking at the world. The essence of this approach is the process of Bayesian … Continue reading

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Prosecution Bias?

Originally posted on Cheap Talk:
Why are conditional probabilities so rarely used in court, and sometimes even prohibited?  Here’s one more good reason:  prosecution bias. Suppose that a piece of evidence X is correlated with guilt.  The prosecutor might say,…

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