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Tag Archives: Bayes’ Theorem
Are babies Bayesians?
At its core, Bayes’ theorem is not just a mathematical equation, a formal method for making predictions; it is also a probabilistic and dynamic way of looking at the world. The essence of this approach is the process of Bayesian … Continue reading
Prosecution Bias?
Originally posted on Cheap Talk:
Why are conditional probabilities so rarely used in court, and sometimes even prohibited? Here’s one more good reason: prosecution bias. Suppose that a piece of evidence X is correlated with guilt. The prosecutor might say,…
prior probability 