Presidential Meta-Poll (updated)

1. Will the results of this year’s presidential election confirm or disprove the median voter theorem?

2. Further questions:

(a) How do we determine who the “median voter” is in the real world, and along which policy dimension do we measure his or her political preferences?

(b) How does the act of not voting (i.e. “none of the above”) relate to the median voter model? Specifically, do median voters abstain more frequently than voters closer to the extremes?

(c) Are presidential politics to complex to be amenable to formal mathematical models?

About F. E. Guerra-Pujol

When I’m not blogging, I am a business law professor at the University of Central Florida.
This entry was posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Economics, Mathematics, Politics. Bookmark the permalink.

6 Responses to Presidential Meta-Poll (updated)

  1. Craig says:

    * Perhaps Question 2a can be rephrased as “In Hotelling’s model, how do we know where the center of the beach is?”
    * And Question 2b, “Does the lack of interest by some beach-goers in the ice cream flavors being offered affect the placement of ice-cream stands on the beach?”

  2. Abogada Guerra says:

    Great explanatory video for those of us who did not know about this theorem.

  3. Mandi says:

    Can you please remove my name from your post: Mandi B. My video is no longer available. My school was posting my assignment and I had it removed. Thank you.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s