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Category Archives: Politics
Follow the money
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Economics, Law, Politics, Questions Rarely Asked
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Was the march for science a waste of time?
Probably. But we loved all the geeky posters and colorful outfits. Special shout out to whoever designed the T-shirt pictured below.
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Politics
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Larry’s fallacy
Note: this is the first in a series of five blog posts responding to Larry Solum’s defense of public meaning originalism. Our friend and colleague Larry Solum, a law professor at Georgetown, recently wrote this statement on behalf of Neil … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, History, Law, Logical Fallacies, Politics
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The problem with so-called public meaning originalism
President Trump’s nomination of Judge Gorsuch to the Supreme Court has reignited the longstanding constitutional battle between defenders of the Living Constitution and backers of Originalism. (If this never-ending normative debate were a baseball game, it would be in the 57th … Continue reading
Posted in Academia, Bayesian Reasoning, Current Affairs, History, Law, Philosophy, Politics
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Taxing robots (Pigovian beard tax edition)
Microsoft billionaire and quasi-monopolist Bill Gates recently proposed that we should tax robots. But should we really tax robots? Why not impose a tax on every line of computer code instead? Or why not tax computer programmers who sport beards? … Continue reading
Posted in Current Affairs, Economics, Politics, Web/Tech
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Role reversal experiment: what if The Donald were a Donalda?
He would have still won the election! Maria Guadalupe and Joe Salvatore, professors at NYU, conducted an ingenious experiment (see video below) and found some surprising results. Happy International Women’s Day and be sure to check out the video below (hat tip: … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Current Affairs, History, Politics
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Zuckerberg for President?
Happy MLK Day! Check out this well-reasoned conjecture by Nick Bilton explaining the origins and logic of Facebook inventor and CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s worldly ambitions. Here is just one excerpt from Mr Bilton’s intriguing essay: “Facebook would not be Zuckerberg’s … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Politics
4 Comments
Actuarial table of Trump’s justices
Last year, Donald Trump released a shortlist of conservative jurists he said he would consider as possible U.S. Supreme Court replacements for the late great Justice Antonin Scalia. Recently, our friend, colleague, and fellow blogger Josh Blackman (of seven-screen fame) compiled the somewhat morbid table below calculating the … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Law, Politics, Probability
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Happy Birthday, Mr Hamilton
Alexander Hamilton was born on this day (1/11) in the British West Indies.
Caption this
Romney's popular vote share: 47%.Trump's popular vote share: 46.5%. pic.twitter.com/fidZaaSZj0 — Leigh Caldwell (@leighblue) November 30, 2016 I made the Trump/Romney photo black and white, and it looks like a Twilight Zone episode where a guy just made a foolish … Continue reading
Posted in Cooperation, Current Affairs, Deception, Politics
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prior probability 