Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Quarantine readings
Below is a small subset of the best books, essays, and online courses that I have been reading or watching during this quarantine period: 1. “Thinking in Bets” by Annie Duke (Portfolio/Penguin, 2019), available here via Amazon. Suffice it to … Continue reading
How to lie with statistics (coronavirus edition)
As you may have heard by now, there are more cases of coronavirus in the USA than anywhere else in the world. But with apologies to the late Darrell Huff, most coronavirus tables and charts I have seen thus far … Continue reading
The Immortal John Horton Conway
John Conway (pictured below) is one of my mathematical heroes, along with Martin Gardner and John Nash. Among other things, Conway invented a simple zero-player game called “The Game of Life,” for which he will always be remembered by generations … Continue reading
PSA (coronavirus edition)
Updated 4/16: Hey, where is my mask? In the mail? If the Mayor of Los Angeles or the Governor of New York is going to make the wearing of masks compulsory (see here and here), then shouldn’t City Hall or … Continue reading
Bayes, Papineau, and the pandemic
If you are looking for a concise and well-written introduction to Bayesian probability, check out this beautiful essay in the Times Literary Supplement (TLS), which recently appeared in my Twitter feed. (Thank you, Twitter!) This excellent essay was written by … Continue reading
Bill Gates for President?
Sure, why not! Although I am not a big fan of Bill Gates or billionaire philanthropists generally, like a good Bayesian I will update my priors and give credit where credit is due. Like the great Sir Winston Churchill, who … Continue reading

