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Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
#shrinkflation
noun: the process of products shrinking in size or quantity while their prices remain the same.
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College sports and promissory estoppel
Hey, what’s up? We are attending the 62nd Annual Meeting of the Southeastern Academy of Legal Studies in Business (#SEALSB2016) in Durham, N.C. this weekend. Our favorite talk so far has been Joseph Long’s presentation on promissory estoppel and the … Continue reading
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Legal prophecies
In previous papers, we have used Bayesian methods to predict litigation outcomes (“A Bayesian Model of the Litigation Game“), and we have also modeled litigation as a game of poker (“The Poker-Litigation Game“). In our latest work (“The Colonel Blotto Litigation Game“), we model litigation … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Game Theory, Law
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Dewey defeats Truman …
Never mind. For the record, here is our favorite part of Mr Trump’s victory speech earlier this morning: “For those who have chosen not to support me in the past …, I’m reaching out to you for your guidance and your … Continue reading
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Thiel, Truth, and Trump
Revised 11/7: Is Peter Thiel angling for a position in a Trump White House? Whatever his motives, we tend to agree with most of what Mr Thiel is saying, which is why we are voting Libertarian this year.
Posted in Current Affairs, Politics
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Trump’s toupee
Gawker’s Ashley Feinberg did some digging and was able to trace the origins of Donald’s Trump’s meticulous hairdo. It’s a toupee! According to Ms Feinberg, Trump’s toupee is based on “a little-known, patented hair restoration treatment [pictured below] called a … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Deception, Questions Rarely Asked, Science, Truth
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prior probability 