Category Archives: Uncategorized

Truth and probability

Note: this is the second installment of our review of the paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach. Following their short introduction on gambling odds (see post below for a summary), Howson and Urbach present the … Continue reading →

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“Bayesian reasoning in science”

That is the title of this commentary by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach published in the journal Nature on 4 April 1991. (Howson and Urbach also published a book with the title “Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach”; see the image of … Continue reading →

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Science bounty hunters?

Dr Christopher Keating says via his global warming website that he is willing to pay a bounty or reward of $10,000 USD to anyone who is able to disprove global warming. The official rules of this contest are thus: 1. Dr Keating will … Continue reading →

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How many World Cup matches are fixed?

Forty-eight matches will played during the first stage of the World Cup in the nation of Brasil. But how many, pray tell, of those “first 48” matches will be fixed or rigged in some form, e.g. by means of payoffs to … Continue reading →

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The case for reparations for Native Americans

Why isn’t “land theft” a crime?

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Applied mathematics (birthday cake edition)

Is there a “right” way to cut cake?

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Is Professor Christensen a sexist pig?

Harvard historian Jill Lepore has written a scathing takedown of Clayton Christensen’s unfalsifiable “disruptive innovation” theory. (Why are business school professors so taken by empty buzzwords and trendy catch phrases?) Prof. Christensen responds to Lepore’s essay in this interview. Note … Continue reading →

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Time-outs versus “stoppage time”

Don’t you hate the endless series of strategic time-outs in basketball and American football, which always end up breaking up the flow of the game? We do. Why can’t all sports follow the international football (soccer) model and use a … Continue reading →

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How Much Do Expert Witnesses Get Paid?

Originally posted on Cheap Talk:
From a story about the NCAA trial: Noll, like most of the expert witnesses here, was paid well for his testimony: $800 an hour. (James Heckman, an N.C.A.A. expert, received $2,300 per hour.) “I think…

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A modest (political) proposal?

Finally, an honest politician …

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