Tag Archives: Bayesian reasoning

Is LeBron a Bayesian?

Polymath Tyler Cowen speculates thus: In Cleveland [LeBron] is not actually expected to win, at least not right away.  They can play the young guys a lot and rest his legs and extend his career, while developing the quality of the … Continue reading

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!Viva Bayes!

Hey, why are there so many Bayesians in Mexico this week? Maybe it’s because the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) is holding an international conference on Bayesian methods (see logo below) at the Cancun Conference Center in beautiful Cancun, Mexico. [*] By the way, … Continue reading

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“Bayesian reasoning” postscript

Note: We recently concluded a five-part review of the main points in Howson & Urbach’s important paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” (see our various Bayesian blog posts from 25-28 June). We now wish to present our own thoughts in this postscript. Spoiler … Continue reading

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The problem of priors

Note: this is the fifth and final installment of our review of the paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach. We now come to the “main event”: the problem of priors. That is, where are you … Continue reading

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Lies, damned lies, and … statistics

Note: this is the fourth part of our review of the paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach. (The fifth and final installment of our review shall appear on 28 June.) Let us return to Howson and Urbach’s Bayesian … Continue reading

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Beliefs are like gambles …

Note: this is the third installment of our review of the paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach. Thus far, we have seen how Howson and Urbach briefly consider the relation between probability and truth (see previous … Continue reading

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Truth and probability

Note: this is the second installment of our review of the paper “Bayesian reasoning in science” by Colin Howson and Peter Urbach. Following their short introduction on gambling odds (see post below for a summary), Howson and Urbach present the … Continue reading

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