In defense of Paul Krugman (Earth day edition)

Economist Paul Krugman recently wrote up a short and provocative essay in the N.Y. Times on “Econ 101 boosterism” or the naive application of textbook economics to real-world moral and legal problems. In his essay, Krugman compares the pros and cons of two opposing approaches to reducing global warming or climate change: (a) a regulatory or command-and-control approach (e.g. banning coal) versus (b) a market approach (e.g. cap and trade). At least one of Krugman’s colleagues (Ashok Rao) was quick to criticize Paul Krugman’s essay, claiming that Krugman ignores the effect prices have on consumers’ consumption patterns. But Ashok Rao (and Tyler Cowen, for that matter) commit a major (and common) economic fallacy: they confuse markets with carbon taxes. In defense of Krugman, he wasn’t writing about a carbon tax at all; he was writing about cap and trade. If we’ve learned anything from the great English economist Ronald Coase, it’s that a Pigovian tax is NOT a market solution; it’s just another form of command and control.

Image credit: Wikipedia

Posted in Current Affairs, Economics, Law | 2 Comments

Vocabulary visualization

Vocabulary Wheel for describing emotions

They left out “meh” …

Posted in Culture, Language | Leave a comment

The Seven States of America?

What if we just abolished the 50 States or replaced them with seven mega-regions or provinces? (See below for a hypothetical example of what such a proposal might look like on a map.) After all, our northern neighbors in Canada have only 10 provinces. So, aside from historical tradition, why do we still need 50 separate States?

7 States Of America

Image Credits: N.Y. Times and Joel Kotkin (boundaries and names of 7 mega-regions)

Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, History, Maps, Questions Rarely Asked | Leave a comment

What do you want to do when you grow up?

Why do we ask youngsters what do they want to be; instead, we should be asking them what do they want to do when they grow up. But even this suggestion raises a deeper question: why would anyone ever want to “grow up”; why can’t we just “grow”?

Picture Credit: F. E. Guerra-Pujol

Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Culture | Leave a comment

Who wore it best?

Posted in Culture, Current Affairs, Politics | 1 Comment

Review of Aden et al. (part 3 of 3)

In our previous two posts, we reviewed the main details of a proposed private law solution to Puerto Rico’s public debt crisis. (This proposed solution would not require any new legislation, and it appears in this working paper by Aden, et al., 2016.) Here, we will evaluate the feasibility and merits of this solution.

For starters, we really admire the simplicity and elegance of the private law solution in the Aden et al. paper. After all, since a municipal bond is, legally speaking, nothing more than an investment contract, the relevant provisions of the Puerto Rico Civil Code should, in principle, apply to bonds emitted by the government of Puerto Rico. That said, what if the parties to the underlying bond contracts opted out of Puerto Rico law? We would not be surprised if the underlying contracts relating to Puerto Rico’s municipal bonds contained either a choice of law clause or a forum selection clause (or both). But even if Puerto Rico law did apply to these bonds, there are three additional legal barriers the government of Puerto Rico would have to overcome in order to implement the solution in Aden et al.: (1) can a government agency or instrumentality be a debtor under the provisions of the Puerto Rico civil code, (2) are bonds really a “joint obligation” under civil law, and (3) does federal bankruptcy law preempt the provisions of the Civil Code discussed in Aden, et al.? The third issue is currently awaiting resolution by the U.S. Supreme Court, so let’s focus on the first two issues in the remainder of this post.

To begin with, we see no good reason why the relevant debtor/creditor provisions of the P.R. Civil Code shouldn’t apply to a government agency or instrumentality. If anything, the same laws that apply to private persons and business entities should also apply to the government. Nevertheless, Aden et al. might be on shakier ground regarding step two of their proposed solution. We are under the impression that “joint obligations” (oligaciones solidarias) under the civil code refers to joint ownership of an indivisible thing (like a painting or a boat). In the case of bonds, by contrast, each individual bondholder’s ownership interest or credit rights can be easily and separately ascertained, so a strong argument can be made that bonds (or stocks, for that matter) should never be classified a “joint obligation.” Lastly, even if bonds (i.e. investment contracts) could be classified as a “joint obligation” under civil law (thus solving the critical holdout problem identified in Aden et al.), the government of Puerto Rico would still need to offer a restructuring deal that would be attractive enough to obtain the support of a simple majority of the relevant class of bondholders. How likely is that?

In the alternative, then, we would offer a procedural solution to the P.R. debt crisis: what if the Puerto Rico government and its major creditors (see below) were to agree to some form of binding arbitration to settle their differences?

Posted in Economics, Law | Leave a comment

A private law solution to PR’s public debt crisis (part 2 of 3)

In our previous post, we mentioned that three law students at Duke University (Aden, et al.) figured out a two-step solution to Puerto Rico’s public debt crisis, a simple and elegant solution that is already available to Puerto Rico under existing provisions of the P.R. Civil Code. We also reviewed step one of their proposed solution. Briefly, under Article 1812 of the Puerto Rico Civil Code, “a debtor may judicially ask from his creditors a reduction in the amount and an extension of time in the payment of his debts,” and under Art. 1818 of the Civil Code, a debt restructuring or “haircut” agreed to by a simple majority of creditors is binding on all of them. Although a court cannot compel any creditors to agree to new terms, a court may order the parties to negotiate in good faith with each other. (Put another way, a court can order the creditors to visit the barber shop; it can’t compel them to get a haircut.)

But why would any creditors ever agree to a haircut in the first place, especially when holdouts might still receive payment in full after after the other creditors have agreed to restructure their claims (i.e. the “Argentina problem”). The holdout problem now takes us to the second step of the Duke students’ solution. Specifically, Aden et al. claim that in Puerto Rico’s case the holdout problem can be solved through the civil code concept of the “joint obligation” (obligación solidaria), a legal fiction or default rule set forth in Articles 1090 to 1101 of the Puerto Rico Civil Code (31 L.P.R.A., secs. 3101-3112). The Duke authors rightly note that a joint obligation under the civil code is “not a restructuring per se, but rather a way for Puerto Rico to be able to pay what little funds it has available to all of the creditors pro rata without the fear of holdouts” (Aden, et al., 2016, p. 6).

In summary, when an obligation is classified as a “joint obligation” under the Puerto Rico Civil Code, the debtor of the obligation may elect to make payments to any one of his joint creditors, and as long as one of the creditors is paid, then the other creditors may not recover their share of the debt from the debtor. (See Article 1095 of the P.R. Civil Code, 31 L.P.R.A., sec. 3106.) Instead, the other creditors must seek contribution from the creditor who received payment from the debtor. Moreover, Aden et al. make a strong case that Puerto Rico’s General Obligation Bonds are a “joint obligation” under the Puerto Rico Civil Code. In particular, they point out section 32(b) of the March 7, 2012 Puerto Rico Bond Resolution, which states that “all proceedings shall be instituted only […] for the equal benefit of all beneficial owners of the outstanding […] Bonds” (Aden, et al., 2016, p. 9). Thus, in the words of the Duke authors, “because the General Obligation bonds are classified the same, treated the same, arise from the same Bond Resolutions, then [a joint obligation] exists between them and these creditors may be treated as joint creditors” (ibid.).

(In the alternative, Aden et al. argue that Puerto Rico’s General Obligation Bonds are a “joint obligation” under Article 1093 of the P.R. Civil Code (31 L.P.R.A., sec. 3104) and under Article VI, Section 8 of the Puerto Rico Constitution. Article 1093 of the Civil Code states that a “joint obligation” may exist even when the “creditors and debtors are not bound in the same manner … and under the same conditions,” while Article VI, Section 8 of the P.R. Constitution states: “In case the available revenues including surplus for any fiscal year are insufficient to meet the appropriations made for that year, interest on the public debt and amortization thereof shall first be paid, and other disbursements shall thereafter be made in accordance with the order of priorities established by law.”)

In our next blog post, we will evaluate the merits and feasiblity of this simple and elegant two-part solution to Puerto Rico’s debt crisis.

Image Credit: Yannerys Colmenarez.

Posted in Economics, Law | 3 Comments

A proposed private law solution to Puerto Rico’s public debt crisis

Puerto Rico’s public debt is massive — around $70 billion and counting, but no one really knows for sure as the government of Puerto Rico does not follow uniform or transparent accounting rules. Since Puerto Rico is not authorized to declare bankruptcy under federal law, the Puerto Rico legislature enacted a local “recovery act” in 2014 authorizing the island government to restructure part of its public debts through the local courts. To make a very long story short, bondholders (the various creditors who are owed money by the Puerto Rico government) immediately challenged the local recovery act in federal court, and their case has gone all the way up to the United States Supreme Court in Washington, D.C. With the death of Justice Scalia and the recusal of Justice Alito, the remaining seven justices heard arguments in March, and they are expected to render a decision by June of this year.

(By the way, when this case was argued in the U.S. Supreme Court, the government of Puerto Rico was represented by Christopher Landau, a lawyer at Kirkland & Ellis, while the bondholders were represented by Matthew D. McGill, a lawyer at Gibson Dunn. In other words, the parties were represented by some of the best private attorneys and most prestigious private law firms in our nation, and we can only begin to imagine the staggering legal fees this case has generated thus far.)

In the meantime, three law students at Duke University — Felix Aden, Ryan Berger, and Sigurdur Tryggvason — figured out an ingenious solution to Puerto Rico’s looming debt crisis, a simple and straightforward two-step solution that does not require the Puerto Rico legislature or the Congress to enact any new legislation! (The students posted their simple and elegant two-step solution on SSRN here.)

Step one is based on Articles 1812 and 1818 of the venerable Puerto Rico Civil Code of 1930 (31 L.P.R.A., secs. 5172 & 5178). (Puerto Rico, like Spain, France, and many other countries, has adopted a comprehensive civil code that spells out the legal rights and duties of private persons, including business entities.) Article 1812 of the P.R. Civil Code allows any debtor (including, presumably, the government of Puerto Rico) to go to a Puerto Rico court of general jurisdiction and request the court to order the parties to re-negotiate “a reduction in the amount and an extension of time in the payment of his debts.” Under Article 1812, the court cannot compel any creditor to accept a new deal; the court can only require the creditors to at least negotiate with the debtor. Nevertheless, under Article 1818 of the Civil Code, a negotiated agreement with a simple majority of creditors within the same class is binding on all the creditors within that class.

So, why would a majority of creditors ever agree to renegotiate the terms of their debts? (Remember, under Articles 1812 and 1818 of the Civil Code, a local court is only authorized to order the creditors to negotiate in good faith with the debtor. A court cannot compel the parties to actually reach an agreement.) Here is where step two of the Duke Univeristy students’ solution comes into play: the civil code concept of the “joint obligation.” In our next post, we will go over step two of their solution, so read pp. 6-9 of their paper!

Hat tip: Kim Krawiec, via The Faculty Lounge.

Posted in Current Affairs, Economics, Law | 1 Comment

Infectious virus cards: collect them all …

… the cards, that is (not the viruses!). You are probably familiar with traditional baseball cards and regular playing cards, but have you ever seen animated cards for infectious viruses? If not, check out the full set of animated virus cards created by Eleanor Lutz. Here’s the card for the dengue virus:

Virus Trading Cards

h/t: kottke

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Ancient icosahedron

Via Tumblr, check out this ancient Greek die with 20 sides in the shape of an icosahedron:

Posted in Games, History, Mathematics | Leave a comment