Tag Archives: Strategy

“The coinflipper’s dilemma”

Posted on September 14, 2014 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

That is the title of this little paper by economist Steve Landsburg. In his blog post with the same title, Professor Landsburg introduces the coin-flipper’s dilemma with this story: When I was in high school, my English teacher must have had … Continue reading →

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Faking it

Posted on July 1, 2014 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

We can’t help but cheer for Pepe (although his little headbutt looks fake too!) … Also, you will find a plausible theory explaining why players have an incentive to fake injuries in Michael Gard’s excellent essay Faking it: why football players feign injury. … Continue reading →

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Open-source patents?

Posted on June 13, 2014 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

Elon Musk — co-founder and CEO of Tesla Motors — has this to say about Tesla’s proprietary patents: When I started out with my first company, Zip2, I thought patents were a good thing and worked hard to obtain them. And maybe they were good … Continue reading →

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Will Baghdad fall next?

Posted on June 11, 2014 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

Solve for equilibrium …

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What’s the probability that Russia will annex additional Ukrainian territory?

Posted on March 24, 2014 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

We think it is high, very high. After all, Russia has already annexed the whole of the Crimean peninsula without a real fight. Why won’t she annex other pro-Russian regions too, especially the eastern oblasts of Ukraine? Like Adolf Hitler after the 1938 … Continue reading →

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Why isn’t the Crimean peninsula worth defending?

Posted on March 22, 2014 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

She is certainly worth stealing and taking by force, which is what the Russian Federation appears to be doing as we write up this pithy blog post … If you were an advisor to Oleksandr Turchynov, the new (and unelected) prime minister … Continue reading →

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Bill Gates (White) vs. Magnus Carlsen (Black)

Posted on February 28, 2014 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

Below is a play by play of their chess match of 24 January 2014 in algebraic notation: 1. e4 Nc6 2. Nf3 d5 3. Bd3 Nf6 4. exd5 Qxd5 5. Nc3 Qh5 6. 0-0 Bg4 7. h3 Ne5 8. hxg4 … Continue reading →

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