Prediction theory of law (#Celebgate edition)

Is Apple liable in tort for last fall’s hack of celebrity iCloud accounts? What about Google? Check out this in-depth essay by Issie Lapowsky, published in Wired Magazine last September, addressing some of these questions. According to one source cited in Lapowsky’s report — David Vladeck, the former director of the U.S. Bureau of Consumer Protection and a professor of law at Georgetown University — Apple will likely be sued after hackers stole nude photos that many Hollywood celebrities had stored on the company’s iCloud service.  Although such suits have had little success in the past, “he and other legal and cybersecurity experts also say that a lawsuit over the high-profile hack may be just the thing to push Apple and other online companies to more aggressively protect the people using their services.”  This particular prediction came true, but what probability of success would you assign to this lawsuit?

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