Tag Archives: Prediction Theory of Law

Prediction theory of law (#Celebgate edition)

Is Apple liable in tort for last fall’s hack of celebrity iCloud accounts? What about Google? Check out this in-depth essay by Issie Lapowsky, published in Wired Magazine last September, addressing some of these questions. According to one source cited in Lapowsky’s report — … Continue reading

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Is Riggs v. Palmer a “hard case”?

For many legal scholars, the paradigm or textbook example of a “hard case” in law is Riggs v. Palmer, the infamous “murdering heir” case decided in 1889 by the New York Court of Appeals. The facts of this legendary case would make tabloid and … Continue reading

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Judge Hercules or Judge Bayes?

Here is the abstract of one of our thought experiments, which we have been working on over the holidays: This paper explores two possible connections between hard cases in law and Newcomb’s Paradox in philosophy. One is that Newcomb’s Problem is … Continue reading

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Was Holmes a Bayesian?

Not that Holmes. This one. In our previous blog post (11/14/14), we promised to explain why our defense of Bayesian methods is relevant to law. After all, how is probability theory generally or any of the foregoing specifically — i.e. Hájek’s analysis … Continue reading

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