Where do we place our bets?

Posted on June 8, 2016 by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

About F. E. Guerra-Pujol

When I’m not blogging, I am a business law professor at the University of Central Florida.
This entry was posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Current Affairs, Law, Politics, Racism. Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Where do we place our bets?

  1. CHCollins says:
    June 8, 2016 at 00:21

    My guess is, exponential decay. p(Trump can stay quiet) = 80% for 16 hours, 40% for 32 hours, 20% for 48 hrs, and beyond that, nearly irresistable.

    Reply

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