Trump "will no longer comment" on TrumpU case… over/under on how long that lasts= 24 hours? https://t.co/tbpgOVIQpB
— Colin Camerer (@CFCamerer) June 7, 2016
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prior probability 
My guess is, exponential decay. p(Trump can stay quiet) = 80% for 16 hours, 40% for 32 hours, 20% for 48 hrs, and beyond that, nearly irresistable.
Trump’s theorem = single-event probabilities are indeed subjective