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Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Simple Explanation of the Monty Hall Problem
This is the simplest and fastest explanation of the Monty Hall Problem we have ever seen.
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Games, Probability
4 Comments
Amazon’s first hire
Via kottke, we learned that the first person Jeff Bezos ever hired at Amazon was Shel Kaphan. In this illuminating interview in The Macro, Kaphan describes his first meeting with Bezos and the early days of Amazon.com. Here is an excerpt: … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Economics, History, Questions Rarely Asked
1 Comment
Necessity as a conjecture (post 5 of 5)
In our previous post (9/6), we referred to the work of legal scholar Giorgio Agamben, and we presented our own pragmatic or “common sense” view of the doctrine of necessity: necessity as a safety valve or gap-filling device for unforeseeable or … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Law, Philosophy
1 Comment
Necessity: a third view
Note: this is the fourth of five posts on the doctrine of necessity. In our previous posts (9/1, 9/4, and 9/5), we referred to the work of legal scholar Giorgio Agamben (in particular, his beautiful book State of Exception), and … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Law, Philosophy
2 Comments
Necessity as a source of law
Note: this is the third of five posts on the law and morality of necessity. My wife and I have been watching season 2 of Narcos on Netflix this Labor Day weekend. Narcos revolves mostly around Pablo Escobar, a notorious … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Law, Philosophy
4 Comments
Necessity as an ex post exception
Note: this is the second in a series of five posts on the common law doctrine of necessity. In our previous post (9/1), we presented three general theories of the legal doctrine of necessity. Here, we consider the first of … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Law, Philosophy, Uncategorized
1 Comment
Three theories of necessity (Post 1 of 5)
In our previous post, we compared and contrasted the standard version of the Trolley Problem with Lon Fuller’s “Case of Speluncean Explorers.” Another possible commonality between both hypotheticals is the legal theory of necessity. Since both cases involve thought experiments that present … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Law, Uncategorized
1 Comment
prior probability 