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Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Type I vs. Type II errors
We’re almost done reading Deborah G. Mayo’s magnum statistical opus Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge (University of Chicago Press, 1996), a must-read for anyone interested in the philosophy of statistics. Her defense of conventional statistics or “Neyman-Pearson” methods … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Probability
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Why do politicians lie so much?
Is there an “optimal level” of truth telling in politics?
Posted in Cheating, Deception, Ethics, Politics
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“Shortest paper ever published in a serious Math Journal”
The one-page paper is titled “Can n2 + 1 unit equilateral triangles cover an equilateral triangle of side > n, say n + ε?,” authored by John H. Conway and Alexander Soifer, and you can find it here, along with … Continue reading
Posted in Mathematics
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Are Star Wars fans anti-Bayesian movie-goers?
Does the theory of price elasticity of demand apply to cultural artifacts, like movies? On this question, we strongly recommend Harrison Searles’s in-depth movie review of the latest Star Wars flick The Force Awakens–a review we found via Marginal Revolution … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Science Fiction
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End of year review: 2015
It’s that time of year again … In addition to my regular teaching duties, here is what we were working on (outside the classroom) during the previous year (2015): (a) Research fraud as tort, Science, Vol. 349, No. 6255 (25 … Continue reading
Posted in Academia
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Good vs Evil (legal citation edition)
https://twitter.com/DrRimmer/status/681988034603036672 Hey there … We just found out–via James Creedon and Matthew Rimmer (above)–that two of our colleagues (professors C.J. Sprigman and Carl Malamud, to be more exact) are working on an open source (i.e. free) version of legal citation … Continue reading
Posted in Academia, Law
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Bookcase/Staircase
Happy birthday, Sydjia! Hat tip: Spicebar (via imgur).
Posted in Culture, Literature
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prior probability 