In defense of simple models

We just found a 1963 reprint of W.W. Sawyer’s little book Mathematician’s Delight at Mostly Books, a family-owned bookstore on 529 Bainbridge Street in Philadelphia. In chapter 2 of his book, which was first published in 1943, Prof. Sawyer notes “the connexion between reason and imagination,” stating that “reason is … an experiment carried out in the imagination.” (What an amazing and beautiful phrase; the italics are Sawyer’s.) He also describes — and defends — simple models this way (again, emphasis in original):

It is impossible to imagine any event in perfect detail. In attacking any problem, we simplify the situation to a certain extent. We do not bother about those facts which seem unimportant. The result of our reasoning will be correct if the picture in our imagination is, not exactly correct, but sufficiently correct for the purpose in hand.

In other words, abstraction, parsimony, and reduction are not only necessary and unavoidable in solving problems logically. Abstraction, reduction, etc. can be helpful too.

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Tattoos, signals, and property rights

Tattoos have a long history (even Queen Victoria reportedly had a tattoo; see the TED video below), but why do people get tattoos? We see tattoos (or “body art” more generally) as a form of signaling, so what does a tattoo signal, especially to prospective partners and employers? Also, from a legal perspective, can a tattoo be copyrighted? That is, can there be property rights in tattoos?

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Constitutional questions

1. Is there a single set of identifiable and determinate principles that animate the U.S. Constitution (or Great Britain’s unwritten constitution, for that matter)? If so, what are they?

2. What is the role of State and federal courts, if any, in policing compliance with the Constitution’s structural limitations? (Yes, this is a trick question, since judges don’t really have the power to arrest the President or members of Congress.)

3. Does the Constitution embody freedom of contract to the degree that Richard Epstein suggests in Chapter 21 of his book “The Classical Liberal Constitution”? What is a “classical liberal” constitution? Were the framers themselves “classical liberals?”

Bonus Question: Do any of the above constitutional questions have a “correct” or determinate answer? How do we test the truth or falsity of the answers to these questions?

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Constitutional theory is unfalsifiable

As we noted in our previous post, we are attending a two-day colloquium on Richard A. Epstein’s latest tome The Classical Liberal Constitution. At the end of yesterday’s discussion, one legal scholar (Thomas Merrill) posed the following fundamental question: Do we need a theory of the Constitution to understand constitutional cases or do constitutional law? Our answer to this question is an unequivocal NO. We don’t need constitutional theory because constitutional theory is totally unfalsifiable. In short, there is no way of testing whether one’s preferred theory is true or false. Instead, constitutional theory is just a matter of aesthetics or politics. Are we wrong?

Preaching to the choir?

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“The Classical Liberal Constitution”

That is the title of Richard A. Epstein’s latest book. We are attending a two-day colloquium in Philadelphia this week-end to discuss various aspects of Prof. Epstein’s book with a small group of other legal scholars.  We will keep you posted.

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Fair or foul?

Was the Facebook mood experiment “fair” or “foul” from an ethical perspective? Is it even possible for ethics to produce a determinate or “right” answer to this question? Several armchair philosophers, for example, have concluded that Facebook’s recent study of user behavior is “scandalous,” “violates accepted research ethics,” and “should never have been performed.” Michelle Meyer, by contrast, recently wrote this well-reasoned defense of Facebook’s research methods:

But if it is ethically permissible for Facebook to offer a service that carries unknown emotional risks, and to alter that service to improve user experience, then it should be allowed — and encouraged — to try to quantify those risks and publish the results.

Although we agree with Professor Meyer’s analysis on the grounds that more knowledge is generally better than less knowledge, what about the problem of consent? That is, even if these secret online experiments are useful from a consequentialist perspective, are they not still unethical (illegal even) from a contractarian or Kantian perspective?

Sept. 18 Tweet Chat

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Why isn’t “Constitution Day” a holiday?

Moreover, why do we celebrate “Labor Day” instead of Constitution Day? We propose the following: Instead of celebrating Labor Day on the first Monday of September, why not abolish this meaningless holiday and celebrate Constitution Day every Sept. 17 instead? (On that day in 1787, most (but not all) of the delegates attending the secret Philadelphia Convention signed the first draft of the U.S. Constitution, which was later submitted to local State conventions for formal ratification.)

Posted in Law, Questions Rarely Asked | Tagged | 4 Comments

Questions for Roger Goodell

Where are you hiding? (Your last tweet was two weeks ago; see below.) Have you replied yet to this letter dated Sept. 10 from several members of Congress? Also, what are you waiting for in the Adrian Peterson case? A video?

Posted in Current Affairs, Deception, Sports | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

“The moral tragedy of Scottish independence”

That is the melodramatic title of this short essay by Emile Simpson, an English scholar and former British infantry officer. (Thanks to Tyler Cowen for the pointer.) Although we are not certain when a tragedy becomes a “moral tragedy,” Simpson’s paper is worth reading because he explains why tomorrow’s independence referendum is not really democratic at all, since the voting rules establishing who gets to vote — and who doesn’t get to vote — are arbitrary and thus questionable. (As an aside, we tentatively agree with Prof. Cowen when he writes: “Regardless of the result [of tomorrow’s historic referendum in Scotland], allowing this referendum to go forward likely will go down as one of the greatest unforced errors in recent times.” We say “tentatively agree” because of the “ex ante” vs. “ex post” problem.) In any case, will the case of Scotland set a precedent for other regions in the world, such as Catalonia in Spain or California in the U.S., for that matter?

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High-Five Social Experiment

Have you ever seen a crazy-looking bearded man high-five random strangers? Neither have we, until now … Meir Kalmanson is a genius.

Posted in Bayesian Reasoning, Games, Rules | Tagged | 2 Comments