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Author Archives: F. E. Guerra-Pujol
Is Private Bradley Manning guilty of “aiding the enemy”?
The trial of Private Bradley Manning, who has been charged by the US Government with “aiding the enemy,” is coming to an end. Although the Manning case is far more important than the Trayvon Martin case, it has received much … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Aiding the Enemy, Bradley Manning, Iraq War, Truth, Wikileaks
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Forget tenure? (*)
Scientific American recently published this entertaining guest blog from a tenure insider, Ms Radhika Nagpal, a newly-tenured professor at Harvard. Among other things, she advises young scholars to create a “feelgood” email folder, stay away from your emails on the week-end, and … Continue reading
Cuba Libre
Today, July 26, is a national holiday in Cuba commemorating the failed attack by a young group of revolutionaries, led by Fidel and his brother Raul, on an army barracks in the city of Santiago de Cuba on 26 July 1953. Fidel and … Continue reading
F*ck the police?
What’s the probability that you won’t get a parking ticket or moving violation this year? This value might just depend on the population of your city, the number of police where you live and work, and the traffic-ticket quota assigned … Continue reading
A-Rod versus the Yankees
Looks like the Yankees’ management made a bad bet when the re-signed star third-baseman Alex Rodriguez several years ago … There are reports that A-Rod wants to return to the Yankees’ lineup this Friday (26 July) but that Brian Cashman, the team’s General … Continue reading
Nate Silver’s new gig
Farewell New York Times … Nate Silver is joining ESPN. Here is Margaret Sullivan, the Times’s “public editor” (whatever that means), contrasting Silver’s approach to politics to that of regular or mainstream journalism: “His entire probability-based way of looking at … Continue reading
Is the “rule of law” dead?
Secret courts … Secret “kill lists” … Secret drone missions … An intellectually-honest jurist has to ask, what has happened to the rule of law? prior probability also asks, what is the probability that these secret (and illegal?) tactics will reduce … Continue reading
Royal probabilities
Before the birth of a baby boy today to Kate & William, the probability that the baby would in fact be a boy was 1/2, but what is the probability that the boy’s grandfather, Prince Charles, will ever ascend the … Continue reading
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Tagged bets, Prediction Markets, Prince Charles, Probability, Robin Hanson
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Bets & taxes
“Are gamblers required to pay taxes on every winning bet – for example, every winning pull of the slot machine? Or can they report the overall income – gains minus losses – from a session of gambling?” This is the … Continue reading
