Annals of self-refutation

From Chuck Klosterman’s (a/k/a “The Ethicist”) smug response to an ethical question posed by “K.M.” of Holden, Massachusetts:

I don’t think voicing your opinion falls anywhere on the ethical continuum … Ask [your two sons] if they’ve seriously considered the consequences of bringing new humans into a flawed world, while conceding that your personal view on this subject is (and should be) essentially irrelevant to whatever they ultimately decide to do.

Since Mr Klosterman himself is only offering his personal opinions to his readers’ various ethical queries, doesn’t his point above apply equally to the contents of his own weekly ethics column? (For the record, Klosterman’s self-refuting words appear (without irony) on page 13 of The New York Times Magazine on Sunday, 6 July 2014.)

What’s wrong with this picture?

Posted in Ethics, Logical Fallacies | Tagged | Leave a comment

Veritas odium paret

Consider, for example, the recent spate of self-righteous indignation over Stephen A. Smith’s “provocation” comments or over the Israeli Defense Forces’ ongoing military operation in Gaza. Why do people disagree with the simple truth in either case–i.e. most violence is provoked, which, of course, is not to say that violence is ever justified (cf. the is-ought fallacy)? Perhaps it’s because some people don’t like updating their Bayesian priors, or as Jamie Whyte observes on page 9 of his beautiful book Crimes Against Logic, because some people don’t really care about truth: “If someone is interested in believing the truth, then she will not take the presentation of contrary evidence and argument as some kind of injury. It’s just that, on some topics, many people are not really interested in believing the truth. They might prefer it if their opinion turns out to be true–that would be the icing on the cake–but truth is not too important.” What say you?

Update (30 July): ESPN has suspended Stephen A. Smith for one week for (get this!) daring to speak his mind on the Ray Rice case. Thanks ESPN … the world is such a better place now!


But are his jersey sales down?

Posted in Current Affairs, Truth | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The House always wins …

Here’s a puzzle: Why do people gamble in casinos, especially if (as our old friend Freddie Torres would like to say when talking about lawsuits against the government) “the House always wins”? By way of example, check out this report by Chris Opfer about blackjack payouts in Las Vegas. Pay close attention to this part of Mr Opfer’s report:

But like skinning a cat, frying a fish, or badgering a cocktail waitress, there are several ways to squeeze more cash out of the gambling masses. One is to simply change the rules … In March, the Venetian and Palazzo casinos changed the payouts on blackjack hands from three-to-two to six-to-five. That might not seem like a big difference to casual observers, but experts say the change significantly increases the casinos’ house edge …

[One way to win at the game of blackjack] is by making a “blackjack” or “natural 21,” that is, drawing an ace paired with a king, queen, jack, or 10 in your first two cards. A player who beats the dealer usually get paid at a one-to-one rate. Bet $10, win $10. Getting a blackjack is a less frequent occurrence, and one that’s a bit more lucrative. Until recently, it was standard for casinos to pay out blackjacks at a three-to-two rate, meaning that a $10 blackjack hand pays the winner $15. At the Venetian and Palazzo, the same hand now pays $12.

“It’s like a hidden tax that you’re being charged by the casinos,” Henry Tamburin, a gambler, gaming instructor, and author of Blackjack: Take the Money and Run, says of the payout change. “Most people don’t realize that.” Tamburin says a player can expect to hit a blackjack about once every 21 hands. At an average of 80 hands an hour, that translates to the house snatching an extra $12 out of players’ hands every 60 minutes. Spread that over every player at every table at a casino and you can see why pit bosses might go all in on six-to-five.

In other words, “the House” not only decides which games to play; it can also literally change the rules of the game in the middle of the game! Notice, moreover, that this observation is true not only of casinos in Las Vegas but also of the game we call law. That is, ordinarily, a simple majority vote in Congress or in the Supreme Court suffices to change the rules of the law game. For example, Congress has the power to change the rules of the copyright game, while the Supreme Court has the ex post (and self-declared) power to review any changes made by Congress. But is majority rule consistent with the ideal of the “rule of law,” especially in the case of unelected and unaccountable Supreme Court judges? We don’t think so. In fact, if we could amend or re-design Article III of the U.S. Constitution (which, by the way, makes no mention of the power of “judicial review”), we would seriously consider imposing a two-thirds “super-majority” voting rule on the Supreme Court to limit the judiciary’s power to change the rules of the game. (Our modest rule-change proposal, though, is not without irony.)

Warning: the House always wins.

Posted in Law, Rules | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Which side is winning the propaganda war?

Does the ceasefire also apply to the propaganda war?

Posted in Politics, Propaganda, Truth | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Map-Art

Check out this book of maps edited by Hans Ulrich Obrist and Tom McCarthy: “Mapping it Out: An Alternative Atlas of Contemporary Cartography.” Here are some samples from the book. Here is one of our favorites:

map

Michael Craig-Martin, “Globalisation” (2011)

Posted in Art, Maps | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Laboratory Life, B. Latour & S. Woolgar (1979)

We are reblogging this review of Bruno Latour’s classic book about science mainly for the question posed in the next to last paragraph of this post–namely, why do scientists (and scholars generally, we might add) care so much about priority and about getting credit for their work (e.g. citations, awards, etc.)? Is it simply another example of human vanity, or is it about something else?

afinetheorem's avatarA Fine Theorem

Let’s do one more post on the economics of science; if you haven’t heard of Latour and the book that made him famous, all I can say is that it is 30% completely crazy (the author is a French philosopher, after all!), 70% incredibly insightful, and overall a must read for anyone trying to understand how science proceeds or how scientists are motivated.

Latour is best known for two ideas: that facts are socially constructed (and hence science really isn’t that different from other human pursuits) and that objects/ideas/networks have agency. He rose to prominence with Laboratory Life, which followed two years observing a lab, that of future Nobel Winner Roger Guillemin at the Salk Institute at UCSD.

What he notes is that science is really strange if you observe it proceeding without any priors. Basically, a big group of people use a bunch of animals and chemicals and technical…

View original post 603 more words

Posted in Science | Tagged , | Leave a comment

“Crimes Against Logic”

That is the title of this fun little book by Jamie Whyte. (Thanks to Steven Landsburg for the pointer.) By the way, many of the logical fallacies exposed by Whyte are especially relevant to law and judging, such as his critique of “chaotic verbiage” (page 66). Consider, for example, legal words like “reasonableness” or “probable cause” that are not testable and do not really promote any clarity. We especially liked Whyte’s point about how persons in authority often will “don a simple robe” in order to substitute “sanctimony for evidence” (p. 32). We strongly recommend Whyte’s little book.

While we are on the subject of logical fallacies, Alex Tabarrok just wrote up this excellent post explaining why “legislative intent” in the field of statutory interpretation is nonsense … yet many judges, lawyers, and law professors still take the idea of “legislative intent” seriously, as if that were a coherent or meaningful concept.

Read at your own risk.

Posted in Law, Logical Fallacies | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

The science of aircraft boarding

Posted in Economics, Ethics, Game Theory, Justice | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Why Mayor Bloomberg flew to Israel

Former New York City mayor Michael R. Bloomberg explains in this essay press release why he flew to Ben-Gurion International Airport in Tel Aviv, the capital of Israel. Here is the gist of his argument:

Just hours after the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration prohibited domestic airlines from flying to Israel this week, I boarded an El Al flight from John F. Kennedy International Airport in New York City to Ben-Gurion International Airport in Tel Aviv to express solidarity with the Israeli people and show the world that Israel’s airports remain open and safe …

Hamas would like nothing more than to close down Ben-Gurion, isolating Israel from the international community and seriously damaging its economy. By prohibiting U.S. carriers from flying into Ben-Gurion, the FAA handed Hamas a significant victory — one that the group will undoubtedly attempt to repeat. The FAA has, regretfully, succeeded only in emboldening Hamas. In times of crisis, acting out of an abundance of caution can be prudent. But closing down access to major infrastructure networks in the face of terrorist threats can be self-defeating.

For the record, we are with Mayor Bloomberg on this one. (Addendum: FAA ends its stupid and pusillanimous travel ban to Israel.)

Who are the bad guys here?

Posted in Current Affairs | Tagged , | Leave a comment

“Dallas Killers Club”

That is the title of Nicholson Baker’s excellent review of the conspiracy-theory literature on JFK’s assassination. Here is an excerpt from the opening of Baker’s essay:

There were three horrible public executions in 1963. The first came in February, when the prime minister of Iraq, Abdul Karim Qassem, was shot by members of the Ba’ath party, to which the United States had furnished money and training …

The second execution came in early November 1963: the president of Vietnam, Ngo Dinh Diem, was shot in the back of the head and stabbed with a bayonet, in a coup that was encouraged and monitored by the United States …

The third execution came, of course, later that month, on November 22 …

To the extent the United States government was responsible (either in a legal or moral sense) for the assassinations of Prime Minister Qassem and President Diem, didn’t JFK get a taste of his own medicine?

Posted in History, Politics | Tagged , , | Leave a comment